AMC Networks (AMCX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$12.17
0.10 (0.83%) ▲
5d: -4.85%
30d: +3.57%
90d: +20.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: AMCX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -5.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.90
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.49
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $12.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.83 to $12.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (5.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.17, while resistance sits at $12.87.

Market Sentiment: AMCX scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $9.83. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $11.83 - $12.56
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 40.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 19.2% above Wall St target ($9.83)
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.83 - $12.56
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.17
Resistance Level $12.87
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.42
Wall Street Target $9.83 (-19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 82.2%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.4 vs 5.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.51 (-5%)
2-Year Target $10.89 (-11%)
3-Year Target $10.30 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→5) $12.13 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.7%) $60.21 (+395%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 2.7%) $13.18 (+8%)
Bear: (PE: 3.8, Growth: 2.7%) $11.20 (-8%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 5.2
Stabilization Target: $14.33 (+17.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.8%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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