AMCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMCX - AMC Networks Inc. Class A
$11.20
1.49 (15.35%)
▲
5d:
+14.4%
30d:
+6.57%
90d:
+31.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMCX trades at premium valuation expecting 11.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AMCX trades at premium valuation expecting 11.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.46
Based on -7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMCX is currently trading at $11.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.72 to $10.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.97, while resistance sits at $11.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.97, while resistance sits at $11.66. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMCX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $7.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.72 -
$10.51
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+15.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 33.0% above Wall St target ($7.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.4% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.72 -
$10.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.97
Resistance Level
$11.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.37
Wall Street Target
$7.50
(-33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.2%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 5.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.48
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$13.90
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$15.48
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.13
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -18.3%)
$22.96
(+105%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: -18.3%)
$8.16
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: -18.3%)
$5.87
(-48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$19.31
(+73%)
Analyst growth 80.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$17.56
(+57%)
Market implied 80.8%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$6.60
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:49 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:49 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael J Sherin III
SELL
5963 shares
2026-03-10
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AMCX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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