TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES
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TKO Group (TKO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$193.67
-5.83 (-2.92%)
▼
5d:
+2.4%
30d:
+12.35%
90d:
-3.78%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
0d
Protect TKO Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (21%)
Quality Score
27/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$173.08 – $184.18
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
34.3x
FAIR
vs 36.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$232.37
+16.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$173.21 / $201.98
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TKO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.45
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKO is currently trading at $193.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $173.08 to $184.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.3) is in line with its historical norms (36.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.21, while resistance sits at $201.97.
Market Sentiment: TKO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $232.37 (+16.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.21, while resistance sits at $201.97.
Market Sentiment: TKO scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $232.37 (+16.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$173.08 -
$184.18
Company Quality Score
27/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$173.08 -
$184.18
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$173.21
Resistance Level
$201.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TKO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($232.37)
- WARNING: Composite score 27/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.26
Wall Street Target
$232.37
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.9%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.3 vs 36.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$195.71
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$191.99
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$188.34
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→36)
$199.54
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.3, Growth: 19.0%)
$336.61
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$195.11
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 19.0%)
$165.85
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 18.08 | Forward EPS (Implied): $11.03
Bull Case
$240.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$199.50
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$152.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.3 to 36.3
Stabilization Target:
$211.36
(+5.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TKO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Traders on StockTwits express bullish sentiment towards $TKO, with references to the company's position as a 'queen' and the use of emojis representing wealth and power. No newsworthy articles were found on Yahoo Finance.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TKO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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