TKO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TKO - TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
$184.56
3.60 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
-4.66%
30d:
-13.64%
90d:
-5.58%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
18d
Get Alerted When TKO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TKO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TKO shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$171.27
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.35
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TKO is currently trading at $184.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $190.63 to $207.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.5) is in line with its historical norms (35.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $186.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.39 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TKO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $186.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.39 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$190.63 -
$207.71
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($234.39)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$190.63 -
$207.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$186.38
Resistance Level
$212.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.49
Wall Street Target
$234.39
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.0%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
37.5 vs 35.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$187.88
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$191.26
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$194.71
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→36)
PE COMPRESSION
$184.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.5, Growth: 9.7%)
$243.70
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$141.59
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.7%)
$120.36
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 46.95 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.93
Bull Case
$222.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 49.3
Base Case
$184.56
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.0
Bear Case
$141.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 9:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TKO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nick Khan
SELL
9518 shares
2026-04-06
Shane Kapral
SELL
254 shares
2026-03-09
Shane Kapral
SELL
616 shares
2026-03-03
Top Rated Entertainment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Entertainment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DIS
Walt Disney Company |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$130 | 59 HOLD |
|
NFLX
Netflix Inc |
BUY
49 analysts |
$113 | 62 BUY |
|
ROKU
Roku Inc |
BUY
32 analysts |
$154 | 61 BUY |
|
LYV
Live Nation Entertainmen… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$187 | 62 BUY |
|
WBD
Warner Bros Discovery Inc |
BUY
27 analysts |
$30 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced TKO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TKO price and gamma walls.
