AMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMX - America Movil S.A.B de C.V American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive twenty (20) Series B Shares)
$23.61
0.35 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
-0.59%
30d:
-9.68%
90d:
-12.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.79
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMX is currently trading at $23.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.19 to $26.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMX scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.44 (+26.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AMX scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.44 (+26.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.19 -
$26.30
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($29.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.19 -
$26.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.06
Resistance Level
$25.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.10
Wall Street Target
$29.44
(+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.33
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$21.44
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$20.58
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$23.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.1%)
$56.65
(+144%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 10.1%)
$31.08
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 10.1%)
$26.42
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$31.12
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.8%, PE expands to 14.9
Base Case
$28.29
(+22%)
Market implied 21.8%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$15.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$26.20
(+12.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 14, 2026 12:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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