VZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VZ - Verizon Communications

TELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS (NO RADIOTELEPHONE)
$46.81
0.70 (1.52%) ▲
5d: +0.93%
30d: +11.48%
90d: -2.54%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.69
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.82
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VZ is currently trading at $46.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.42 to $46.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VZ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $42.89, while resistance sits at $49.01.

Market Sentiment: VZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.56 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $42.42 - $46.25
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.56)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -0.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $42.42 - $46.25
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $42.89
Resistance Level $49.01
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.88
Wall Street Target $51.56 (+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -22.0%
Profit Margin 11.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.2% premium
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 8.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.90 (+0%)
2-Year Target $47.00 (+0%)
3-Year Target $47.09 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) PE COMPRESSION $46.69 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 4.9%) $126.24 (+170%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 4.9%) $54.05 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 7.5, Growth: 4.9%) $45.94 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.75
Bull Case $71.33 (+52%)
Analyst growth 40.6%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case $64.85 (+39%)
Market implied 40.6%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case $31.35 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jennifer L. McClellan SELL 2026-04-07
Pete Sessions SELL 2026-03-09
Mary-Lee Stillwell SELL 8569 shares 2026-03-02

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