AT&T (T) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.94
+0.14 (+0.64%)
▲
5d:
+2.57%
30d:
-2.45%
90d:
-9.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
63/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$21.21 – $23.69
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.5x
CHEAP
vs 10.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$27.59
+25.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.52 / $22.21
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: T trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
T is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; T has been on it 2 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-10.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.05
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: T is currently trading at $21.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.21 to $23.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, T is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: T scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.59 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, T is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: T scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.59 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.21 -
$23.69
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.21 -
$23.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$20.52
Resistance Level
$22.21
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($27.59)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.45
Wall Street Target
$27.59
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.4%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.78
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.68
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$18.63
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$22.05
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.4%)
$65.60
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 8.4%)
$27.92
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$23.73
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.88
Bull Case
$33.11
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.1%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$30.10
(+37%)
Market implied 38.1%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$14.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$25.96
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share T Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (T)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A retiree is considering swapping Realty Income (O) for Agree Realty (ADC) due to Agree's lower debt ratio and higher dividend growth. Both are net lease REITs.
Key Retail Themes:
REITs
Dividend growth
SpaceX potential acquisitions
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is T showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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