T-Mobile US (TMUS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$169.08
+0.37 (+0.22%)
▲
5d:
+9.5%
30d:
+11.33%
90d:
-4.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$150.45 – $164.83
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.1x
CHEAP
vs 14.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$225.64
+33.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$143.75 / $169.74
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: TMUS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 30, 2026 at $158.03 · last confirmed Nov 4, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$389.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$242.06
30.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TMUS is currently trading at $169.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $150.45 to $164.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (14.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMUS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $169.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TMUS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.64 (+33.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TMUS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $169.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TMUS scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $225.64 (+33.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$150.45 -
$164.83
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$150.45 -
$164.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$143.75
Resistance Level
$169.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TMUS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.5% below Wall St target ($225.64)
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.08
Wall Street Target
$225.64
(+33.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.6%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 14.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.95
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$151.31
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$143.14
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$169.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.2%)
$545.76
(+223%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 25.2%)
$331.90
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 25.2%)
$282.11
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.37
Bull Case
$250.53
(+48%)
Analyst growth 35.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$227.76
(+35%)
Market implied 35.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$114.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 14.3
Stabilization Target:
$200.19
(+18.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.4%
Share TMUS Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TMUS)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article discusses AT&T's growth in combined internet and wireless account households and its subsequent service revenue growth, while its net debt has also increased. However, the bullish StockTwits message focuses on T-Mobile as the 'cleanest' fit for a potential SpaceX buyout.
Key Retail Themes:
AT&T's growth in combined account households
T-Mobile as a potential SpaceX buyout target
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TMUS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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