AMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMX - America Movil S.A.B de C.V American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive twenty (20) Series B Shares)
$21.32
-0.82 (-3.70%)
▼
5d:
+0.14%
30d:
-6.57%
90d:
-18.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.21
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.48
5.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMX is currently trading at $21.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.72 to $23.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.3) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.54, while resistance sits at $22.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.47 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.54, while resistance sits at $22.52. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.47 (+38.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$21.72 -
$23.07
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($29.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.72 -
$23.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.54
Resistance Level
$22.52
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.27
Wall Street Target
$29.47
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.13
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$19.00
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$17.94
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$21.30
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.9%)
$56.23
(+164%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 10.9%)
$29.09
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 10.9%)
$24.73
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case
$30.44
(+43%)
Analyst growth 25.0%, PE expands to 14.7
Base Case
$27.67
(+30%)
Market implied 25.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$15.06
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$25.32
(+18.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 11, 2026 4:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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