AMX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMX - America Movil S.A.B de C.V American Depositary Shares (each representing the right to receive twenty (20) Series B Shares)
$22.43
-0.60 (-2.61%)
▼
5d:
-1.75%
30d:
-4.76%
90d:
-15.23%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.93
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.93
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMX is currently trading at $22.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.94 to $23.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.44 (+31.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMX is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.44 (+31.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$22.94 -
$23.61
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($29.44)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.94 -
$23.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.42
Resistance Level
$23.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.76
Wall Street Target
$29.44
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.42
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$20.46
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$19.54
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$22.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.2%)
$57.91
(+158%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$30.84
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$26.22
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.74
Bull Case
$30.35
(+35%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$27.59
(+23%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$15.66
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$25.64
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 20, 2026 10:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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