APO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APO - Apollo Global Management, Inc.
$125.59
5.34 (4.44%)
▲
5d:
+2.43%
30d:
+6.04%
90d:
-2.43%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: APO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.69
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.72
13.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APO is currently trading at $125.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.21 to $125.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $126.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.63 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $126.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: APO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $147.63 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$117.21 -
$125.17
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($147.63)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.21 -
$125.17
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.57
Resistance Level
$126.19
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.77
Wall Street Target
$147.63
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.3%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 12.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.45
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$121.36
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$119.29
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$125.67
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.6%)
$387.85
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 20.6%)
$220.23
(+75%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 20.6%)
$187.20
(+49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.27
Bull Case
$151.65
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$125.59
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.6
Bear Case
$96.08
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.8 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$132.30
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-13
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APO price and gamma walls.
