What is the fair value of ARES stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ARES to be between $123.40 and $141.77. The current price is $141.25.

What is the analyst price target for ARES?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ARES is $146.89. This implies a potential upside of 4.0% from current levels.

ARES Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ARES - Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock

INVESTMENT ADVICE

$141.25

1.02 (0.73%) ▲

5d: -1.92%

30d: +16.47%

90d: +13.92%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your ARES Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 31, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $141.34 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 5.2/10

Get Alerted When ARES Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: ARES is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 22.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$246.56

Based on 13.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$153.09

7.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ARES is currently trading at $141.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.40 to $141.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.6) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ARES is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $134.42, while resistance sits at $149.87.

Market Sentiment: ARES scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $123.40 - $141.77

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 39.0%

Protect Your Profits

Holding ARES? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.89)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $123.40 - $141.77

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $134.42

Resistance Level $149.87

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.64

Wall Street Target $146.89 (+4.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.8%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.5%

Profit Margin 10.6%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.2% premium

PE vs Historical 19.6 vs 18.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $144.36 (+2%)

2-Year Target $147.53 (+4%)

3-Year Target $150.78 (+7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $141.26 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.9%) $268.10 (+90%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 22.9%) $262.35 (+86%)

Bear: (PE: 16.7, Growth: 22.9%) $223.00 (+58%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.

Forward PE: 24.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.88

Bull Case $170.56 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.2

Base Case $141.25 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.0

Bear Case $108.06 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 21.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is ARES showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

John Boozman BUY 2026-03-13

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for ARES.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Asset Management Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Asset Management by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
KKR KKR & Co. Inc.	STRONG BUY 21 analysts	$127	42 HOLD
HASI Hannon Armstrong Sustain…	STRONG BUY 16 analysts	$50	51 HOLD
APO Apollo Global Management…	STRONG BUY 19 analysts	$153	42 HOLD
BX Blackstone Group Inc	HOLD 23 analysts	$142	48 HOLD
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc	STRONG BUY 15 analysts	$13	48 HOLD

KKR KKR & Co. Inc.

42 HOLD

HASI Hannon Armstrong …

51 HOLD

APO Apollo Global Man…

42 HOLD

BX Blackstone Group …

48 HOLD

OWL Blue Owl Capital …

48 HOLD

Advanced ARES Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARES price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for ARES

ARES Technical Chart ARES Price Prediction ARES Earnings Date ARES Investment Advisor ARES Fair Price Analyzer ARES Options Advisor ARES Options Chain ARES Options Analysis ARES Competitors

Compare ARES with Peers

ARES vs APO
Which one to buy?

ARES vs OWL
Which one to buy?

ARES vs CG
Which one to buy?

ARES vs KKR
Which one to buy?

ARES vs TPG
Which one to buy?

KKR vs ARES

HLNE vs ARES
Winner: Tie

STT vs ARES
Winner: STT

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie