ARES
Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock
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Ares Management (ARES) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$137.89
-1.52 (-1.09%)
▼
5d:
+0.76%
30d:
+19.26%
90d:
-7.74%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect ARES Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$114.69 – $132.14
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.8x
FAIR
vs 18.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$146.55
+6.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$122.95 / $141.91
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ARES shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 4, 2026 at $136.43 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$241.99
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.25
8.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARES is currently trading at $137.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.69 to $132.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ARES scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARES is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ARES scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.69 -
$132.14
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$114.69 -
$132.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$122.95
Resistance Level
$141.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ARES? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.55)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with -18.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.76
Wall Street Target
$146.55
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.9%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 18.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.61
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$145.44
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$149.36
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$138.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 23.7%)
$262.28
(+90%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 23.7%)
$260.96
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 23.7%)
$221.82
(+61%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 19.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.09
Bull Case
$166.50
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$137.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$105.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ARES)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Sep 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Ares Management's latest logistics venture with the Public Sector Pension Investment Board worth US$2.4b has sparked renewed interest in the stock, with some investors viewing the move as a sign of buying cyclical weakness. The company's fair value is estimated at $145.24, but the stock is currently trading at $120.11.
Key Retail Themes:
Company's logistics venture
Stock price and fair value
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARES showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ARES Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ARES price and gamma walls.
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