BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$21.12
-0.09 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
-1.26%
30d:
-5.55%
90d:
+3.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.90
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $21.12, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.98 to $22.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.6) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL scores 81/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.70 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.98 -
$22.40
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (81/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.70)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 81/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.98 -
$22.40
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.36
Resistance Level
$21.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.64
Wall Street Target
$23.70
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.7%
Profit Margin
30.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
26.6 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.33
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.54
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$21.76
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$25.86
(+22%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$19.48
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$16.56
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.76
Bull Case
$24.34
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.3%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$22.13
(+5%)
Market implied 4.3%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$14.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 2:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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