BNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BNL - Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.
$21.09
0.04 (0.19%)
▲
5d:
+0.72%
30d:
+3.38%
90d:
+12.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BNL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BNL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.26
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BNL is currently trading at $21.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.23 to $20.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BNL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BNL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.23 -
$20.90
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.23 -
$20.90
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.27
Resistance Level
$21.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.89
Wall Street Target
$22.33
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.2%
Profit Margin
27.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.13
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$21.17
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$21.22
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.9, Growth: 4.8%)
$24.26
(+15%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.8%)
$20.40
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 4.8%)
$17.34
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$28.61
(+36%)
Analyst growth 25.3%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case
$26.00
(+24%)
Market implied 25.3%, PE stable at 31.9
Bear Case
$14.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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