WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$73.60
-0.48 (-0.65%)
âŧ
5d:
-4.03%
30d:
+3.94%
90d:
+0.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WPC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: WPC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.67
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.27
7.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $73.60, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.29 to $75.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 256.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$71.29 -
$75.19
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($79.85)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.29 -
$75.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.65
Resistance Level
$77.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.26
Wall Street Target
$79.85
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
256.5%
Profit Margin
35.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.10
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$68.68
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$66.35
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â24)
$73.66
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.3, Growth: 14.8%)
$111.30
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.8%)
$108.55
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.8%)
$92.27
(+25%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.90
Bull Case
$97.30
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$88.45
(+20%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 25.5
Bear Case
$50.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$81.72
(+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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