W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT) (WPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$65.37
-0.53 (-0.80%)
▼
5d:
+1.14%
30d:
+1.68%
90d:
-7.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$63.39 – $65.05
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.8x
FAIR
vs 22.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$74.07
+13.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$62.19 / $66.22
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.28
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $65.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.39 to $65.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.07 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $74.07 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.39 -
$65.05
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$63.39 -
$65.05
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$62.19
Resistance Level
$66.22
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($74.07)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.76
Wall Street Target
$74.07
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Profit Margin
35.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 22.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.34
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$61.38
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$59.48
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→23)
$65.31
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: -4.2%)
$57.39
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$54.89
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$46.66
(-29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.88
Bull Case
$79.25
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.3%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$72.04
(+10%)
Market implied 9.3%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$44.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.8 to 22.8
Stabilization Target:
$71.79
(+9.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (WPC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
W.P. Carey (WPC) beat both FFO and revenue estimates for Q3 2026, leading to a positive market response.
Key Retail Themes:
strong earnings report
positive market sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 10, 2026 11:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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