W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT) (WPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$62.57
-1.62 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
-16.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.59
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $62.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.46 to $66.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 256.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.50 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.24. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.50 (+22.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$63.46 -
$66.70
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.3% below Wall St target ($76.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.46 -
$66.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.24
Resistance Level
$65.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.87
Wall Street Target
$76.50
(+22.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
256.5%
Profit Margin
35.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.63
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$56.83
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$54.16
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$62.40
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$54.93
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$54.89
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -4.2%)
$46.66
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case
$76.13
(+22%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$69.21
(+11%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$43.65
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$72.10
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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