WPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$71.66
0.70 (0.99%)
▲
5d:
+0.48%
30d:
-5.07%
90d:
+0.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: WPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.21
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.61
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $71.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.27 to $74.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.7) compared to its historical average (23.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$71.27 -
$74.94
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($78.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.27 -
$74.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.59
Resistance Level
$75.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.69
Wall Street Target
$78.50
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.2%
Profit Margin
29.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.7 vs 23.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.44
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$65.36
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$62.41
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$71.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.8%)
$114.05
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.8%)
$108.36
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.8%)
$92.11
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$114.53
(+60%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$104.12
(+45%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$48.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.7 to 23.7
Stabilization Target:
$82.07
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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