W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT) (WPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$63.83
-0.80 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
-9.02%
90d:
-10.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.22
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $63.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.10 to $70.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.3) compared to its historical average (23.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 256.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.00 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $79.00 (+23.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$66.10 -
$70.66
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($79.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.10 -
$70.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.62
Resistance Level
$67.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.27
Wall Street Target
$79.00
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
256.5%
Profit Margin
35.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 23.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.09
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$58.46
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$55.94
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→23)
$63.75
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -4.2%)
$56.39
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.3, Growth: -4.2%)
$56.04
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$47.63
(-25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.60 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.86
Bull Case
$78.26
(+23%)
Analyst growth 10.1%, PE expands to 24.9
Base Case
$71.15
(+12%)
Market implied 10.1%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$43.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.3 to 23.1
Stabilization Target:
$72.73
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 6:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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