W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT) (WPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WPC - W.P. Carey Inc. (REIT)
$68.92
-0.63 (-0.91%)
▼
5d:
-1.92%
30d:
-2.5%
90d:
-8.81%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: WPC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.84
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$45.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WPC is currently trading at $68.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.08 to $71.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 256.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WPC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $68.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: WPC scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.00 (+15.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$70.08 -
$71.92
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($80.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.08 -
$71.92
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.91
Resistance Level
$71.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.09
Wall Street Target
$80.00
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
256.5%
Profit Margin
35.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 23.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.37
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$67.21
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$66.06
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→23)
$69.68
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$61.06
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -4.2%)
$55.75
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -4.2%)
$47.39
(-32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.90
Bull Case
$83.54
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$75.94
(+9%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$47.57
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.1 to 23.3
Stabilization Target:
$73.36
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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