TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TJX - TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
$147.38
1.86 (1.28%)
▲
5d:
+1.94%
30d:
+12.0%
90d:
-4.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When TJX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TJX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TJX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.62
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TJX is currently trading at $147.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.43 to $143.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $148.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TJX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.68 (+16.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $148.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TJX scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $171.68 (+16.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$128.43 -
$143.16
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Protect Your Profits
TJX is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($171.68)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.43 -
$143.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$137.16
Resistance Level
$148.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.56
Wall Street Target
$171.68
(+16.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
28.6 vs 29.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.32
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$143.28
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$141.28
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→30)
$147.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.6, Growth: 10.2%)
$197.46
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$137.33
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$116.73
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 27.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.35
Bull Case
$154.42
(+5%)
Analyst growth -3.5%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case
$140.38
(-5%)
Market implied -3.5%, PE stable at 27.2
Bear Case
$98.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 29.8
Stabilization Target:
$153.80
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 7:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TJX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Retail Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Retail by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$211 | 52 HOLD |
|
ROST
Ross Stores Inc |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$269 | 46 HOLD |
|
BURL
Burlington Stores Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$365 | 45 HOLD |
|
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc. |
SELL
35 analysts |
$105 | 39 SELL |
|
GAP
The Gap, Inc. |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$27 | 48 HOLD |
Advanced TJX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TJX price and gamma walls.
