TJX
TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES
TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$136.44
-0.48 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
-5.75%
30d:
-3.57%
90d:
-11.29%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
5d
Protect TJX Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
59/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$137.28 – $144.93
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.4x
CHEAP
vs 29.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$168.85
+23.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$134.69 / $146.73
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: TJX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $137.38 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.62
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TJX is currently trading at $136.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.28 to $144.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.4) compared to its historical average (29.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.85 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $134.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.85 (+23.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$137.28 -
$144.93
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$137.28 -
$144.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$134.69
Resistance Level
$146.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding TJX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($168.85)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.7%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.44
Wall Street Target
$168.85
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.4 vs 29.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.39
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$126.53
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$121.85
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$136.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.4, Growth: 10.2%)
$182.80
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$137.33
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$116.73
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 25.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$143.95
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$130.86
(-4%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$93.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 29.6
Stabilization Target:
$152.77
(+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (TJX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investors are showing bullish sentiment towards $TJX on StockTwits, with no significant bearish or neutral messages. According to a recent article on Yahoo Finance, TJX has outperformed the S&P 500 and its industry over the past month, with earnings estimates remaining unchanged. The stock is expected to report earnings of $1.33 per share for the current quarter, representing a 3.9% year-over-year increase.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong earnings performance
Stable earnings estimates
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TJX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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