TJX Companies, Inc. (The) (TJX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TJX - TJX Companies, Inc. (The)
$134.41
1.73 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
+3.19%
30d:
+1.68%
90d:
-12.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TJX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TJX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$181.62
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TJX is currently trading at $134.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.97 to $133.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.0) compared to its historical average (30.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $136.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.80 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TJX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $136.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.80 (+26.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.97 -
$133.69
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TJX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.3% below Wall St target ($169.80)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.97 -
$133.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.57
Resistance Level
$136.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.04
Wall Street Target
$169.80
(+26.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.6%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.0 vs 30.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.23
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$122.33
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$116.70
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$134.43
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$180.08
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 10.2%)
$136.22
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 10.2%)
$115.79
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$139.49
(+4%)
Analyst growth -4.4%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$126.81
(-6%)
Market implied -4.4%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$90.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.0 to 30.0
Stabilization Target:
$154.83
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 05, 2026 7:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TJX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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