LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$112.17
3.25 (2.98%)
▲
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
-11.8%
90d:
-30.31%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LULU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LULU trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$159.10
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $112.17, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.04 to $128.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $109.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.16 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $109.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.16 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$114.04 -
$128.30
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($132.16)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.04 -
$128.30
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.36
Resistance Level
$136.14
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.68
Wall Street Target
$132.16
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.0%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$88.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$79.40
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$115.33
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$244.56
(+125%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: -3.7%)
$97.41
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$82.80
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.35
Bull Case
$117.90
(+8%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$107.18
(-2%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$71.69
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$158.20
(+45.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
Andre Maestrini
BUY
3275 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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