What is the fair value of LULU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LULU to be between $115.58 and $123.78. The current price is $122.03.

What is the analyst price target for LULU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LULU is $127.92. This implies a potential upside of 5.7% from current levels.

LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LULU - lululemon athletica inc.

APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

$122.03

0.96 (0.79%) ▲

5d: +5.43%

30d: +6.78%

90d: -4.05%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Sep 03, 2026 9d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 12, 2026 at $121.35 · last confirmed Aug 24, 2026

Strength: 8.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: LULU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -7.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -3.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$152.78

Based on 0.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$94.87

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $122.03, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.58 to $123.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (12.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.69, while resistance sits at $128.76.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $115.58 - $123.78

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 67.6%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($127.92)
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $115.58 - $123.78

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $114.69

Resistance Level $128.76

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.64

Wall Street Target $127.92 (+5.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -35.0%

Profit Margin 13.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -7.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.6 vs 12.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $112.35 (-7%)

2-Year Target $104.26 (-14%)

3-Year Target $96.76 (-20%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→12) $121.41 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: -3.7%) $225.36 (+86%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: -3.7%) $108.27 (-11%)

Bear: (PE: 8.2, Growth: -3.7%) $92.03 (-24%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 9.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.96

Bull Case $133.60 (+10%)

Analyst growth 5.0%, PE expands to 10.6

Base Case $121.45 (+0%)

Market implied 5.0%, PE stable at 9.7

Bear Case $78.67 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 12.1

Stabilization Target: $151.92 (+25.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +25.5%

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Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Nicole Neuburger SELL 622 shares 2026-04-08

Andre Maestrini BUY 3275 shares 2026-04-01

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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Advanced LULU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LULU price and gamma walls.

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