lululemon athletica (LULU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$94.46
-1.40 (-1.46%)
▼
5d:
-6.75%
30d:
-21.33%
90d:
-18.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LULU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LULU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.21
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $94.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.90 to $115.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.91 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $93.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.91 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$95.90 -
$115.06
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LULU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($104.91)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.90 -
$115.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.41
Resistance Level
$104.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.52
Wall Street Target
$104.91
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.01
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$76.51
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$68.86
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→12)
$105.26
(+11%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$229.06
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -3.7%)
$84.48
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$71.81
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.11
Bull Case
$109.33
(+16%)
Analyst growth 3.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$99.39
(+5%)
Market implied 3.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$65.19
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$144.39
(+52.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+52.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
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Advanced LULU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LULU price and gamma walls.
