LULU lululemon athletica inc. APPAREL & OTHER FINISHD PRODS OF FABRICS & SIMILAR MATL

lululemon athletica (LULU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$105.65
+1.19 (+1.14%) ▲
5d: -4.64% 30d: +6.62% 90d: -8.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (61%)
Quality Score
39/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$95.39 – $108.74
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.4x CHEAP
vs 11.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$104.26
-1.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$104.03 / $114.73
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: LULU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 13, 2026 at $105.33 · last confirmed Nov 13, 2026

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.16
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.03
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $105.65, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.39 to $108.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $104.03. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $95.39 - $108.74
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $95.39 - $108.74
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $104.03
Resistance Level $114.73
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($104.26)
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.41
Wall Street Target $104.26 (-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.9%
Profit Margin 12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 11.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $96.46 (-9%)
2-Year Target $88.07 (-17%)
3-Year Target $80.40 (-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→11) $106.07 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -3.7%) $223.00 (+111%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -3.7%) $94.48 (-11%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: -3.7%) $80.31 (-24%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.81
Bull Case $122.16 (+16%)
Analyst growth 6.3%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case $111.05 (+5%)
Market implied 6.3%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case $71.03 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 11.1
Stabilization Target: $139.37 (+31.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +31.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LULU)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish trader on StockTwits predicts that $LULU has found its bottom based on its 12-month chart, which shows the price hanging above the yearly bullish imbalance, a volume shelf, and a psychological level of 100.
Key Retail Themes: Price analysis and chart patterns
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 15, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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