LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$123.67
4.80 (4.04%)
▲
5d:
+4.96%
30d:
+4.42%
90d:
-7.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LULU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LULU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.05
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $123.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.02 to $119.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: LULU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: LULU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.02 -
$119.60
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($127.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$114.02 -
$119.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.20
Resistance Level
$124.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.85
Wall Street Target
$127.73
(+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.0%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.14
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$107.19
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$99.80
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$123.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -3.7%)
$232.77
(+88%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: -3.7%)
$110.60
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -3.7%)
$94.01
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.35
Bull Case
$132.93
(+8%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$120.85
(-2%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$80.83
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$153.18
(+23.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
Andre Maestrini
BUY
3275 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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