Is BURL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BURL is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BURL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of BURL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BURL to be between $266.73 and $360.92. The current price is $239.04.

What is the analyst price target for BURL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BURL is $364.75. This implies a potential upside of 52.6% from current levels.

BURLINGTON STORES (BURL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BURL - BURLINGTON STORES, INC.

RETAIL-DEPARTMENT STORES

$239.04

1.00 (0.42%) ▲

5d: -7.55%

30d: -32.4%

90d: -30.18%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your BURL Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 27, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $258.56 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BURL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$432.64

Based on 9.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$268.64

11.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BURL is currently trading at $239.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $266.73 to $360.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (28.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $236.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.75 (+52.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $266.73 - $360.92

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 52.6% below Wall St target ($364.75)
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $266.73 - $360.92

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $236.28

Resistance Level $292.50

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.39

Wall Street Target $364.75 (+52.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 95.9%

Profit Margin 5.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -9.2% cheaper

PE vs Historical 21.4 vs 28.6 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -9.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $217.05 (-9%)

2-Year Target $197.08 (-18%)

3-Year Target $178.95 (-25%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→29) $239.29 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.4, Growth: 14.4%) $358.19 (+50%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.4%) $337.80 (+41%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.4%) $287.13 (+20%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 21.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.07

Bull Case $264.36 (+11%)

Analyst growth 1.0%, PE expands to 23.7

Base Case $240.33 (+1%)

Market implied 1.0%, PE stable at 21.5

Bear Case $161.87 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 28.6

Stabilization Target: $319.65 (+33.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +33.7%

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Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Travis Marquette SELL 3759 shares 2026-03-24

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