BURL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BURL - BURLINGTON STORES, INC.
$326.50
-6.73 (-2.02%)
▼
5d:
-6.09%
30d:
-3.82%
90d:
+3.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BURL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BURL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.64
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BURL is currently trading at $326.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $340.65 to $367.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.2) is in line with its historical norms (28.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $325.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BURL scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.00 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $325.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BURL scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $386.00 (+18.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$340.65 -
$367.98
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BURL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($386.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$340.65 -
$367.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$325.36
Resistance Level
$375.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.21
Wall Street Target
$386.00
(+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 28.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$327.81
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$329.12
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$330.43
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$326.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$489.25
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$336.12
(+3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$285.71
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.60
Bull Case
$426.75
(+31%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$387.95
(+19%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$226.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 4:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BURL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Travis Marquette
SELL
3759 shares
2026-03-24
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