BURLINGTON STORES (BURL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BURL - BURLINGTON STORES, INC.
$275.34
0.02 (0.01%)
â˛
5d:
+8.11%
30d:
+7.11%
90d:
-11.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BURL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BURL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.3% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.64
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BURL is currently trading at $275.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $237.10 to $286.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (28.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 95.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $277.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BURL scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.75 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BURL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $277.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BURL scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $364.75 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$237.10 -
$286.63
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BURL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($364.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$237.10 -
$286.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$236.83
Resistance Level
$277.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.64
Wall Street Target
$364.75
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
95.9%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 28.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$263.50
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$252.17
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$241.33
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25â28)
$275.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 14.4%)
$412.59
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$341.65
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 14.4%)
$290.40
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 23.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.48
Bull Case
$294.85
(+7%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case
$268.04
(-3%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case
$187.22
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 28.1
Stabilization Target:
$314.06
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BURL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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