ROST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROST - Ross Stores Inc
$239.04
10.05 (4.39%)
â˛
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
+2.86%
90d:
+10.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 12, 2026 at $250.29 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026
Strength: 9.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ROST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ROST is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROST is currently trading at $239.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.30 to $252.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.05, while resistance sits at $256.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ROST scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.05, while resistance sits at $256.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ROST scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$231.30 -
$252.02
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ROST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($256.06)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.30 -
$252.02
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$228.05
Resistance Level
$256.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.56
Wall Street Target
$256.06
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.4%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
32.6 vs 29.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$241.97
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$249.47
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$257.20
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33â30)
PE COMPRESSION
$234.64
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.6, Growth: 10.7%)
$318.57
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$196.39
(-16%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$166.93
(-29%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.15
Bull Case
$262.16
(+10%)
Analyst growth 0.8%, PE expands to 36.4
Base Case
$238.33
(0%)
Market implied 0.8%, PE stable at 33.1
Bear Case
$160.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Karen Sykes
SELL
5506 shares
2026-03-25
Michael J Hartshorn
SELL
15813 shares
2026-03-25
Karen Sykes
SELL
2556 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ROST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ROST price and gamma walls.
