ROST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROST - Ross Stores Inc
$228.58
-8.40 (-3.54%)
▼
5d:
-3.46%
30d:
+5.24%
90d:
+7.27%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ROST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ROST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROST is currently trading at $228.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $220.73 to $237.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.9) compared to its historical average (29.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $222.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $222.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$220.73 -
$237.01
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($256.18)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$220.73 -
$237.01
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$222.00
Resistance Level
$237.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
32.87
Wall Street Target
$256.18
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.4%
Profit Margin
9.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
32.9 vs 29.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$247.16
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$257.79
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$268.87
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$237.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 32.9, Growth: 10.7%)
$321.66
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$213.12
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$181.15
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.17
Bull Case
$257.47
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.5%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$234.06
(-1%)
Market implied 0.5%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$158.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Karen Sykes
SELL
5506 shares
2026-03-25
Michael J Hartshorn
SELL
15813 shares
2026-03-25
Karen Sykes
SELL
2556 shares
2026-03-10
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