Ross Stores (ROST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROST - Ross Stores Inc
$228.54
-5.56 (-2.38%)
▼
5d:
-3.21%
30d:
-1.0%
90d:
+8.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ROST is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ROST is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROST is currently trading at $228.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $227.22 to $235.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.7) is in line with its historical norms (30.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $226.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.56 (+18.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $226.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.56 (+18.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$227.22 -
$235.76
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ROST? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($270.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$227.22 -
$235.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$226.11
Resistance Level
$239.73
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.70
Wall Street Target
$270.56
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.5%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.7 vs 30.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$232.65
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$236.84
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$241.10
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$228.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$310.22
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$199.62
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 10.7%)
$169.68
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 28.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.29
Bull Case
$223.93
(-2%)
Analyst growth -13.0%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case
$203.57
(-11%)
Market implied -13.0%, PE stable at 28.2
Bear Case
$159.19
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 05, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ROST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ROST Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ROST price and gamma walls.
