ROST Ross Stores Inc RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES

Ross Stores (ROST) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$231.68
-5.56 (-2.34%) ▼
5d: +0.26% 30d: -1.34% 90d: -1.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (71%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$226.70 – $237.75
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
32.1x FAIR
vs 30.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$273.37
+18.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$225.30 / $249.30
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: ROST is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.62
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.34
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ROST is currently trading at $231.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $226.70 to $237.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.1) is in line with its historical norms (30.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ROST is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $225.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $273.37 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $226.70 - $237.75
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $226.70 - $237.75
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $225.30
Resistance Level $249.30
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 13, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($273.37)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (46/100) — watch for confirmation

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.14
Wall Street Target $273.37 (+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 70.5%
Profit Margin 10.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 32.1 vs 30.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $236.31 (+2%)
2-Year Target $241.04 (+4%)
3-Year Target $245.86 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→30) PE COMPRESSION $231.80 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.1, Growth: 10.7%) $314.48 (+36%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.7%) $194.34 (-16%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 10.7%) $165.19 (-29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.13
Bull Case $231.40 (0%)
Analyst growth -11.3%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case $210.36 (-9%)
Market implied -11.3%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case $161.32 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ROST)

Bullish 4 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
3
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bearish sentiment prevails on StockTwits regarding $ROST, with one trader expressing a bearish outlook and setting a minimum price target of 205. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes: Bearish outlook Price target
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive ROST Research Pages
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