BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.
RETAIL-SHOE STORES
Boot Barn (BOOT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$135.49
+1.07 (+0.80%)
▲
5d:
-6.92%
30d:
+15.24%
90d:
-16.61%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 28, 2026
0d
Protect BOOT Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
33/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$114.83 – $131.49
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.9x
CHEAP
vs 19.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$180.67
+33.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$117.49 / $148.44
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BOOT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$269.72
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$167.47
19.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BOOT is currently trading at $135.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $114.83 to $131.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOOT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $117.49, while resistance sits at $148.44.
Market Sentiment: BOOT scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.67 (+33.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BOOT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $117.49, while resistance sits at $148.44.
Market Sentiment: BOOT scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $180.67 (+33.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$114.83 -
$131.49
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$114.83 -
$131.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$117.49
Resistance Level
$148.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($180.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.91
Wall Street Target
$180.67
(+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 19.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$126.14
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$117.44
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$109.33
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→20)
$135.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.1%)
$264.29
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 16.1%)
$211.77
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 16.1%)
$180.01
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.26
Bull Case
$152.41
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.1%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$138.56
(+2%)
Market implied 3.1%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$91.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$167.73
(+23.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BOOT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 4, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows bullish sentiment towards $BOOT with one user expressing optimism about the stock's performance compared to tech sector.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive sentiment towards $BOOT
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BOOT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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