What is the fair value of CLF stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CLF to be between $10.07 and $12.38. The current price is $11.27.

What is the analyst price target for CLF?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CLF is $11.80. This implies a potential upside of 4.7% from current levels.

CLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLF - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

METAL MINING

$11.27

0.53 (4.93%) ▲

5d: -5.29%

30d: +2.83%

90d: +5.33%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 19, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $11.90 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: CLF is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$19.80

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.29

8.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLF is currently trading at $11.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.07 to $12.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (30.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.42, while resistance sits at $12.84. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: CLF scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $10.07 - $12.38

Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 50.0%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($11.80)
WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.07 - $12.38

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.42

Resistance Level $12.84

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.94

Wall Street Target $11.80 (+4.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -99.4%

Profit Margin -4.6%

Valuation Discount vs History -12.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.9 vs 30.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $10.14 (-10%)

2-Year Target $9.13 (-19%)

3-Year Target $8.22 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→30) $12.36 (+10%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.9 to 30.0

Stabilization Target: $16.96 (+50.5%)

PE Expansion Potential: +50.5%

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CLF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CLF price and gamma walls.

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