CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$36.36
-0.10 (-0.27%)
âŧ
5d:
+1.79%
30d:
+5.51%
90d:
+2.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CNX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.9% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.83
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.74
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $36.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.28 to $35.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $36.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$33.28 -
$35.69
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.73)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.28 -
$35.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$34.90
Resistance Level
$36.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.38
Wall Street Target
$37.73
(+3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-18.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.7%
Profit Margin
44.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.67
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$34.99
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$34.33
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â10)
$36.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.1%)
$138.31
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 21.1%)
$64.62
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 21.1%)
$54.93
(+51%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.28
Bull Case
$24.76
(-32%)
Analyst growth -38.3%, PE expands to 6.4
Base Case
$22.51
(-38%)
Market implied -38.3%, PE stable at 5.8
Bear Case
$24.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$38.39
(+5.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:25 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Lally-Green
SELL
23631 shares
2026-03-23
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