CNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNX - CNX Resources Corporation
$35.80
1.19 (3.44%)
▲
5d:
+4.4%
30d:
+6.74%
90d:
-7.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CNX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.40
27.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNX is currently trading at $35.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.80 to $34.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 225.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $35.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: CNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$32.80 -
$34.39
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.64)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.80 -
$34.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.61
Resistance Level
$35.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.76
Wall Street Target
$37.64
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
225.0%
Profit Margin
52.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.22
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$32.72
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$31.28
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$35.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 25.7%)
$168.29
(+370%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$71.13
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 25.7%)
$60.46
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.50
Bull Case
$20.74
(-42%)
Analyst growth -45.5%, PE expands to 5.1
Base Case
$18.85
(-47%)
Market implied -45.5%, PE stable at 4.6
Bear Case
$23.53
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$40.86
(+14.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 12:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maureen Lally-Green
SELL
23631 shares
2026-03-23
Bernard Lanigan Jr
SELL
46119 shares
2026-02-19
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