COHU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

COHU - Cohu Inc

INSTRUMENTS FOR MEAS & TESTING OF ELECTRICITY & ELEC SIGNALS
$54.37
0.26 (0.48%) ▲
5d: -8.31%
30d: -0.26%
90d: +19.1%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: COHU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.81
2.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: COHU is currently trading at $54.37, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.59 to $57.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.4) compared to its historical average (35.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, COHU is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.41, while resistance sits at $63.53.

Market Sentiment: COHU scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $70.88 (+30.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $47.59 - $57.45
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 30.4% below Wall St target ($70.88)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $47.59 - $57.45
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.41
Resistance Level $63.53
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 29.45
Wall Street Target $70.88 (+30.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 38.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -84.3%
Profit Margin -7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 29.5 vs 35.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.22 (-6%)
2-Year Target $48.25 (-11%)
3-Year Target $45.45 (-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→35) $54.32 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 29.4, Growth: 94.3%) $183.50 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 94.3%) $125.06 (+130%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 94.3%) $106.30 (+96%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.4 to 35.2
Stabilization Target: $64.99 (+19.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +19.5%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Bohrson SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-15
Christopher Bohrson SELL 1000 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced COHU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COHU price and gamma walls.

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