LRCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LRCX - Lam Research Corp
$329.92
-20.41 (-5.83%)
▼
5d:
-5.79%
30d:
+2.52%
90d:
+25.13%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
Get Alerted When LRCX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called LRCX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LRCX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: LRCX trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$392.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$243.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LRCX is currently trading at $329.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.77 to $394.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.5) compared to its historical average (37.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $313.10, while resistance sits at $438.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $313.10, while resistance sits at $438.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$330.77 -
$394.54
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LRCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($357.77)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$330.77 -
$394.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$313.10
Resistance Level
$438.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
43.46
Wall Street Target
$357.77
(+2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.8%
Profit Margin
30.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
43.5 vs 37.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$368.20
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$386.97
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$406.71
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$350.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 43.5, Growth: 41.9%)
$1000.89
(+186%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 41.9%)
$501.65
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 41.9%)
$426.40
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 42.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.34
Bull Case
$423.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 44.1
Base Case
$350.33
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 42.0
Bear Case
$268.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LRCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Ava Harter
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-04
Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
ASML
ASML Holding NV ADR |
STRONG BUY
44 analysts |
$1877 | 55 HOLD |
|
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc |
STRONG BUY
39 analysts |
$603 | 51 HOLD |
|
KLAC
KLA Corporation |
BUY
30 analysts |
$229 | 55 HOLD |
|
TER
Teradyne Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$423 | 46 HOLD |
|
ACMR
Acm Research Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$102 | 55 HOLD |
Advanced LRCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LRCX price and gamma walls.
