Is LRCX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, LRCX is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: LRCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of LRCX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LRCX to be between $297.92 and $324.47. The current price is $298.22.

What is the analyst price target for LRCX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LRCX is $373.13. This implies a potential upside of 25.1% from current levels.

Lam Research (LRCX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LRCX - Lam Research Corp

SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC

$298.22

0.21 (0.07%) ▲

5d: +1.9%

30d: -8.55%

90d: -17.74%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your LRCX Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $304.31 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 5.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LRCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$398.25

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$247.28

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LRCX is currently trading at $298.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $297.92 to $324.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.5) is in line with its historical norms (37.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $278.04, while resistance sits at $322.21.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $373.13 (+25.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $297.92 - $324.47

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 25.1% below Wall St target ($373.13)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $297.92 - $324.47

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $278.04

Resistance Level $322.21

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.46

Wall Street Target $373.13 (+25.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 30.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 34.8%

Profit Margin 31.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 36.5 vs 37.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $294.94 (-1%)

2-Year Target $291.70 (-2%)

3-Year Target $288.49 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→38) $297.54 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 36.5, Growth: 43.7%) $884.04 (+196%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 43.7%) $489.12 (+64%)

Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 43.7%) $415.75 (+39%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 34.13 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.74

Bull Case $360.10 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.8

Base Case $298.22 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.1

Bear Case $228.14 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.5 to 37.6

Stabilization Target: $307.58 (+3.1%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.1%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:36 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

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Advanced LRCX Option Strategies

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