LRCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LRCX - Lam Research Corp
$337.01
10.90 (3.34%)
â˛
5d:
+10.22%
30d:
+0.47%
90d:
+14.07%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $311.35 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LRCX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LRCX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LRCX is currently trading at $337.01, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $293.00 to $338.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 41.2) is in line with its historical norms (37.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $345.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $345.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$293.00 -
$338.30
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LRCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($368.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$293.00 -
$338.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$276.84
Resistance Level
$345.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.20
Wall Street Target
$368.94
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.8%
Profit Margin
31.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
41.2 vs 37.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$347.46
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$358.23
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$369.33
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41â38)
PE COMPRESSION
$337.08
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.2, Growth: 43.7%)
$999.03
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 43.7%)
$490.57
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 43.7%)
$416.99
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.22 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.14
Bull Case
$406.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 34.9
Base Case
$337.01
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.2
Bear Case
$257.81
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 29.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 13, 2026 10:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LRCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
David Taylor
BUY
2026-03-12
Ava Harter
SELL
1500 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced LRCX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LRCX price and gamma walls.
