Lam Research (LRCX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$225.92
-7.86 (-3.36%)
▼
5d:
+12.71%
30d:
-18.58%
90d:
-34.3%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$217.86 – $300.45
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.6x
CHEAP
vs 36.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$362.10
+60.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$184.24 / $243.56
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LRCX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
LRCX is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SOXX Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 1.9% over the next 20 trading days; LRCX has been on it 4 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-11-13.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 11, 2026 at $235.88 · last confirmed Nov 13, 2026
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.28
8.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LRCX is currently trading at $225.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.86 to $300.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.6) compared to its historical average (36.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 76.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.24, while resistance sits at $243.56. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $362.10 (+60.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LRCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $184.24, while resistance sits at $243.56. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: LRCX scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $362.10 (+60.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$217.86 -
$300.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$217.86 -
$300.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$184.24
Resistance Level
$243.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 60.3% below Wall St target ($362.10)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.62
Wall Street Target
$362.10
(+60.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
54.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.6%
Profit Margin
32.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 36.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$205.14
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$186.26
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$169.13
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→37)
$225.97
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 43.7%)
$669.71
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 43.7%)
$481.60
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 43.7%)
$409.36
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.71
Bull Case
$313.51
(+39%)
Analyst growth 21.9%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$285.01
(+26%)
Market implied 21.9%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$158.97
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.6 to 36.9
Stabilization Target:
$301.86
(+33.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LRCX)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Investors have expressed bearish sentiment towards $LRCX on StockTwits, with one user questioning the company's performance following earnings. The latest article from Yahoo Finance examines the relationship between Lam Research's returns and market volatility, revealing that the stock has moved about three times as far as the market over the past year.
Key Retail Themes:
Lam Research's volatility compared to the market
Impact of earnings on investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 11:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LRCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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