TER Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TER - Teradyne, Inc. Common Stock
$367.69
2.20 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
+5.08%
30d:
-13.96%
90d:
+7.05%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TER appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 315% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TER appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.6% annual earnings decline despite 315% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$503.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$312.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TER is currently trading at $367.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $329.16 to $425.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 35.4) compared to its historical average (39.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 314.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $301.00, while resistance sits at $392.00.
Market Sentiment: TER has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $432.38 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $301.00, while resistance sits at $392.00.
Market Sentiment: TER has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $432.38 (+18.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$329.16 -
$425.54
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($432.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$329.16 -
$425.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$301.00
Resistance Level
$392.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.37
Wall Street Target
$432.38
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
87.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
314.8%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
35.4 vs 39.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$352.33
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$339.65
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$327.42
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→40)
$365.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.4, Growth: 41.5%)
$1035.24
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 41.5%)
$609.12
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 41.5%)
$517.75
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (59x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 59.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.39
Bull Case
$673.62
(+83%)
Analyst growth 91.7%, PE expands to 65.2
Base Case
$612.38
(+67%)
Market implied 91.7%, PE stable at 59.3
Bear Case
$217.20
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 50.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 35.4 to 39.5
Stabilization Target:
$408.19
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-04
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