Teradyne (TER) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TER - Teradyne, Inc. Common Stock
$345.49
8.90 (2.64%)
▲
5d:
-3.88%
30d:
-13.34%
90d:
-7.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TER shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
TER is flagged by 2 backtest-validated scanners today
SOXX Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 1.9% over the next 20 trading days; TER has been on it 1 day), SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; TER has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-21.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$571.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$355.05
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TER is currently trading at $345.49, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $345.62 to $415.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.4) compared to its historical average (37.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 385.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $322.33, while resistance sits at $414.25.
Market Sentiment: TER scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $445.47 (+28.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TER is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $322.33, while resistance sits at $414.25.
Market Sentiment: TER scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $445.47 (+28.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$345.62 -
$415.15
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($445.47)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$345.62 -
$415.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$322.33
Resistance Level
$414.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.42
Wall Street Target
$445.47
(+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
103.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
385.8%
Profit Margin
25.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.4 vs 37.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$317.51
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$291.79
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$268.15
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→38)
$345.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.4, Growth: 29.1%)
$743.64
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.1%)
$502.08
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 29.1%)
$426.76
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.28
Bull Case
$597.35
(+73%)
Analyst growth 61.3%, PE expands to 50.9
Base Case
$543.04
(+57%)
Market implied 61.3%, PE stable at 46.2
Bear Case
$228.88
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.4 to 37.9
Stabilization Target:
$445.15
(+28.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TER showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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