KLAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock

OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES
$245.61
-23.55 (-8.75%) ▼
5d: -4.22%
30d: +33.33%
90d: +62.5%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KLAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.43
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $245.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $182.79 to $237.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 53.2) compared to its historical average (5.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 115.5% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $199.55, while resistance sits at $269.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: KLAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $200.57. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $182.79 - $237.94
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation MODERATE
Confidence Score 38.1%

Protect Your Profits

KLAC is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.7%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 25.5% above Wall St target ($200.57)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 115.5% growth - appears too optimistic based on history

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $182.79 - $237.94
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $199.55
Resistance Level $269.90
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 53.20
Wall Street Target $200.57 (-25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Profit Margin 35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +115.5% premium
PE vs Historical 53.2 vs 5.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +115.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $403.74 (+50%)
2-Year Target $605.61 (+125%)
3-Year Target $908.42 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 53→5) PE COMPRESSION $90.51 (-66%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 53.2, Growth: 36.2%) $680.05 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 36.2%) $278.43 (+3%)
Bear: (PE: 5.3, Growth: 36.2%) $67.75 (-75%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 51.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.28
Bull Case $325.01 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.6
Base Case $269.16 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 51.0
Bear Case $205.91 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 45.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 10:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:11 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-18
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-05

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Advanced KLAC Option Strategies

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