KLA (KLAC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock
$206.89
6.56 (3.27%)
▲
5d:
+10.09%
30d:
+20.1%
90d:
-11.32%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KLAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KLAC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.52
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $206.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $172.58 to $192.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 40.3) compared to its historical average (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 35.5% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $208.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: KLAC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.77 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $208.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: KLAC scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.77 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$172.58 -
$192.14
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($233.77)
- BEARISH: Market expects 35.5% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$172.58 -
$192.14
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.31
Resistance Level
$208.68
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.32
Wall Street Target
$233.77
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.8%
Profit Margin
35.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+35.5% premium
PE vs Historical
40.3 vs 16.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+35.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$280.34
(+36%)
2-Year Target
$379.86
(+84%)
3-Year Target
$514.70
(+149%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 40→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$206.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.3, Growth: 38.5%)
$549.82
(+166%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 38.5%)
$278.20
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 38.5%)
$220.92
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 34.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.94
Bull Case
$249.82
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 36.6
Base Case
$206.89
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$158.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KLAC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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