KLAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KLAC - KLA Corporation Common Stock

OPTICAL INSTRUMENTS & LENSES
$222.25
-9.27 (-4.00%) ▼
5d: -4.74%
30d: +4.07%
90d: +27.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 16d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KLAC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 66.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.29
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KLAC is currently trading at $222.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $215.62 to $263.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 43.6) compared to its historical average (9.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 66.8% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KLAC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $210.86, while resistance sits at $307.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $215.62 - $263.42
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation MODERATE
Confidence Score 60.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.0%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($228.61)
  • BEARISH: Market expects 66.8% growth - appears too optimistic based on history

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $215.62 - $263.42
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $210.86
Resistance Level $307.37
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 43.61
Wall Street Target $228.61 (+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 11.8%
Profit Margin 35.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +66.8% premium
PE vs Historical 43.6 vs 9.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +66.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $333.38 (+50%)
2-Year Target $500.06 (+125%)
3-Year Target $750.09 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 44→9) PE COMPRESSION $161.68 (-27%)
Significant PE compression expected
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 43.6, Growth: 37.1%) $573.25 (+158%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.1%) $286.30 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 9.4, Growth: 37.1%) $123.56 (-44%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 43.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.32
Bull Case $279.56 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 45.7
Base Case $231.52 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case $177.11 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-18
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-05

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