CPA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$147.49
3.44 (2.38%)
▲
5d:
-1.24%
30d:
+6.04%
90d:
+24.17%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CPA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$229.46
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$142.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $147.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $139.14 to $155.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.08, while resistance sits at $151.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.13 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $128.08, while resistance sits at $151.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $174.13 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$139.14 -
$155.34
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($174.13)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$139.14 -
$155.34
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.08
Resistance Level
$151.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.30
Wall Street Target
$174.13
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
7.3 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$147.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$151.05
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$154.67
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$144.09
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.9%)
$722.17
(+401%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 18.9%)
$242.03
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.2, Growth: 18.9%)
$205.72
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.77 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.17
Bull Case
$190.39
(+32%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$173.08
(+20%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$102.40
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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