Copa (CPA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$129.15
0.59 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
-4.94%
90d:
-7.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CPA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.15
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.97
2.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $129.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.36 to $138.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.56, while resistance sits at $133.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.73 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.56, while resistance sits at $133.90.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.73 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$127.36 -
$138.11
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($178.73)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.36 -
$138.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.56
Resistance Level
$133.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.68
Wall Street Target
$178.73
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.25
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$127.35
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$126.46
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$128.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 16.7%)
$618.99
(+379%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 16.7%)
$205.08
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 16.7%)
$174.31
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.07
Bull Case
$181.36
(+40%)
Analyst growth 28.2%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$164.87
(+28%)
Market implied 28.2%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$87.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$131.42
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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