Copa (CPA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$131.38
-3.48 (-2.58%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.16%
30d:
+1.98%
90d:
-5.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CPA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CPA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.01
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $131.38, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.97 to $135.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $129.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.47 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $129.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.47 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$129.97 -
$135.76
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($178.47)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 25.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$129.97 -
$135.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$129.53
Resistance Level
$139.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.97
Wall Street Target
$178.47
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$132.96
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$133.76
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$130.52
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$765.07
(+482%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 26.9%)
$268.45
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$228.19
(+74%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.06
Bull Case
$185.71
(+41%)
Analyst growth 25.2%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$168.82
(+29%)
Market implied 25.2%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$91.70
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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