CPA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$135.84
-0.99 (-0.72%)
▼
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
+22.39%
90d:
+2.75%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.15
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.94
12.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $135.84, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.21 to $138.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $126.78, while resistance sits at $145.57.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.80 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $126.78, while resistance sits at $145.57.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $164.80 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$116.21 -
$138.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($164.80)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.21 -
$138.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.78
Resistance Level
$145.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.84
Wall Street Target
$164.80
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.06
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$138.30
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$139.54
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$136.72
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 23.5%)
$820.82
(+504%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$256.17
(+89%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 23.5%)
$217.75
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.15
Bull Case
$182.14
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$165.58
(+17%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$97.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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