CPA
Copa Holdings, S.A.
Air Transportation, Scheduled
Copa (CPA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$140.87
-1.95 (-1.37%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+5.2%
90d:
+5.29%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$131.02 â $142.48
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.5x
FAIR
vs 6.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$178.87
+27.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$132.55 / $151.93
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CPA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$253.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$157.29
10.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $140.87, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.02 to $142.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.55, while resistance sits at $151.93.
Market Sentiment: CPA scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.87 (+27.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $132.55, while resistance sits at $151.93.
Market Sentiment: CPA scores 13/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.87 (+27.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$131.02 -
$142.48
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$131.02 -
$142.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$132.55
Resistance Level
$151.93
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (13/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($178.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 25.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.47
Wall Street Target
$178.87
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.81
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$148.87
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$153.04
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$141.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 26.9%)
$765.07
(+443%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 26.9%)
$287.85
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 26.9%)
$244.67
(+74%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.58
Bull Case
$203.14
(+44%)
Analyst growth 29.3%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$184.68
(+31%)
Market implied 29.3%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$97.12
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CPA)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message highlights the upcoming $CPA earnings report and two potential catalysts: the Hub of the Americas advantage and traffic through Tocumen International Airport.
Key Retail Themes:
Upcoming earnings report
Hub of the Americas advantage
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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