Copa (CPA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$132.48
-0.04 (-0.03%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.93%
30d:
+2.79%
90d:
-14.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 18, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CPA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CPA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$203.96
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $132.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.90 to $133.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $127.55, while resistance sits at $141.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.73 (+34.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $127.55, while resistance sits at $141.35.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $178.73 (+34.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$127.90 -
$133.29
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($178.73)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 25.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$127.90 -
$133.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$127.55
Resistance Level
$141.35
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.95
Wall Street Target
$178.73
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-53.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$133.27
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$134.07
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$134.88
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â7)
PE COMPRESSION
$132.03
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 15.1%)
$592.57
(+347%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$201.78
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 15.1%)
$171.52
(+30%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.31
Bull Case
$181.58
(+37%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case
$165.07
(+25%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$90.11
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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