CPA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$151.93
-1.06 (-0.69%)
▼
5d:
+5.21%
30d:
+10.84%
90d:
+34.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPA trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CPA trades at premium valuation expecting 5.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.07
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $151.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.94 to $145.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (6.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.20 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $151.95. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.20 (+10.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$132.94 -
$145.88
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($168.20)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$132.94 -
$145.88
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.08
Resistance Level
$151.95
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.77
Wall Street Target
$168.20
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 6.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.68
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$167.82
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$176.38
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$152.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.5%)
$782.72
(+415%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 22.5%)
$279.18
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 22.5%)
$237.30
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.17
Bull Case
$191.69
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.9%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$174.26
(+15%)
Market implied 13.9%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$104.03
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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