CPA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPA - Copa Holdings, S.A.
$142.13
0.08 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
-5.18%
90d:
+15.65%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPA is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CPA is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$226.82
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.84
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPA is currently trading at $142.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.95 to $150.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.1) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.79, while resistance sits at $152.67.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a weak technical setup (38/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.27 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.79, while resistance sits at $152.67.
Market Sentiment: CPA has a weak technical setup (38/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $177.27 (+24.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$138.95 -
$150.48
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($177.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$138.95 -
$150.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$135.79
Resistance Level
$152.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 7, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.14
Wall Street Target
$177.27
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.1 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.26
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$146.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$148.62
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$141.46
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.0%)
$662.02
(+366%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$233.79
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$198.72
(+40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.17
Bull Case
$192.24
(+35%)
Analyst growth 23.0%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$174.77
(+23%)
Market implied 23.0%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$96.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 08, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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