United Airlines (UAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$112.51
0.73 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
-1.3%
30d:
+3.84%
90d:
-15.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$127.02
11.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $112.51, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.47 to $113.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.05, while resistance sits at $118.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.43 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.05, while resistance sits at $118.26.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $155.43 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$107.47 -
$113.55
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($155.43)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 16.0% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.47 -
$113.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.05
Resistance Level
$118.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.03
Wall Street Target
$155.43
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.10
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$117.74
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$120.45
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 56.1%)
$964.33
(+757%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 56.1%)
$379.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 56.1%)
$322.76
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.76
Bull Case
$160.05
(+42%)
Analyst growth 30.2%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$145.50
(+29%)
Market implied 30.2%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$76.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 3:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced UAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAL price and gamma walls.
