UAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$105.14
-3.68 (-3.38%)
▼
5d:
-6.64%
30d:
+16.73%
90d:
+4.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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1 traders called UAL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: UAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$199.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.78
15.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $105.14, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.80 to $106.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.23, while resistance sits at $117.96. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: UAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.08 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $89.23, while resistance sits at $117.96. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: UAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.08 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$90.80 -
$106.75
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding UAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($132.08)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.80 -
$106.75
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.24
Resistance Level
$117.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.40
Wall Street Target
$132.08
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.5%
Profit Margin
6.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.09
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$107.04
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$108.00
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$105.15
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 53.3%)
$1051.32
(+900%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 53.3%)
$354.85
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 53.3%)
$301.62
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.19
Bull Case
$157.02
(+37%)
Analyst growth 26.7%, PE expands to 11.1
Base Case
$142.74
(+24%)
Market implied 26.7%, PE stable at 10.1
Bear Case
$76.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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Advanced UAL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UAL price and gamma walls.
