UAL
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
United Airlines (UAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$111.25
-7.12 (-6.02%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.69%
30d:
+12.42%
90d:
-11.24%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
Protect UAL Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$99.79 â $113.33
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x
STRETCHED
vs 7.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$150.57
+27.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$101.47 / $122.08
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: UAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 9.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $109.24 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$173.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$108.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UAL is currently trading at $111.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.79 to $113.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $101.47, while resistance sits at $122.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: UAL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.57 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $101.47, while resistance sits at $122.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: UAL scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $150.57 (+27.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$99.79 -
$113.33
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
37.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$99.79 -
$113.33
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$101.47
Resistance Level
$122.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.2% below Wall St target ($150.57)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.7% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.07
Wall Street Target
$150.57
(+27.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.3%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 7.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.85
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$142.45
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$156.26
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 66.1%)
$787.85
(+566%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 66.1%)
$399.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 66.1%)
$301.49
(+155%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.92
Bull Case
$142.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 7.6%, PE expands to 12.1
Base Case
$129.77
(+10%)
Market implied 7.6%, PE stable at 11.0
Bear Case
$81.98
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (UAL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
United Airlines shares surged 6.61% on Monday due to a decline in oil prices, which eased fuel pressure for the airline. The article suggests that United's fuel expense is a significant concern, and the company guided for lower fourth-quarter adjusted EPS due to high fuel costs.
Key Retail Themes:
Oil prices and their impact on fuel costs
United Airlines' fourth-quarter earnings guidance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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