DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.
$84.17
-2.53 (-2.92%)
▼
5d:
-3.68%
30d:
+1.24%
90d:
+20.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 10, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$154.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.67
12.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $84.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.14 to $91.25. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.52 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $83.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.52 (+25.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$82.14 -
$91.25
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.4% below Wall St target ($105.52)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 18.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.14 -
$91.25
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.56
Resistance Level
$95.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.57
Wall Street Target
$105.52
(+25.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.4%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$85.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$87.40
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$89.06
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.72
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 30.9%)
$413.90
(+392%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 30.9%)
$188.61
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 30.9%)
$160.32
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.08
Bull Case
$137.90
(+64%)
Analyst growth 44.6%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$125.36
(+49%)
Market implied 44.6%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$58.96
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 18, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-14
John E Laughter
SELL
69304 shares
2026-04-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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