Delta Air Lines (DAL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.
$75.59
-3.67 (-4.63%)
▼
5d:
+0.29%
30d:
-8.66%
90d:
-12.78%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 09, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DAL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
DAL is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today
SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; DAL has been on it 1 day). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.
See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.06
11.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $75.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.88 to $83.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAL scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.07 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: DAL scores 72/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.07 (+27.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$77.88 -
$83.78
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (72/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.5% below Wall St target ($101.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with 21.1% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 72/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.88 -
$83.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.14
Resistance Level
$82.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.82
Wall Street Target
$101.07
(+27.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.0%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 9.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.51
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$85.89
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$89.41
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.36
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 35.4%)
$361.06
(+356%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 35.4%)
$196.64
(+148%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 35.4%)
$167.14
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.01
Bull Case
$124.97
(+58%)
Analyst growth 46.3%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$113.61
(+43%)
Market implied 46.3%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$52.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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