DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.
$91.31
3.87 (4.43%)
▲
5d:
+5.35%
30d:
-1.55%
90d:
+32.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 08, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DAL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.73
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $91.31, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.80 to $91.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.52 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.52 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$84.80 -
$91.39
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($105.52)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 18.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.80 -
$91.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.64
Resistance Level
$91.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.95
Wall Street Target
$105.52
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.4%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$90.15
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$92.95
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$95.83
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$87.67
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 32.6%)
$424.73
(+386%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 32.6%)
$203.78
(+133%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 32.6%)
$173.22
(+98%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.19
Bull Case
$138.40
(+58%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$125.82
(+44%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$60.24
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-14
John E Laughter
SELL
69304 shares
2026-04-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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