DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.
$78.78
-1.24 (-1.55%)
▼
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
+15.01%
90d:
+23.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 09, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.2/10
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3 traders called DAL this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: DAL is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.29
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $78.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.38 to $78.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.16, while resistance sits at $83.83.
Market Sentiment: DAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $68.16, while resistance sits at $83.83.
Market Sentiment: DAL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$68.38 -
$78.50
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DAL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($81.81)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.38 -
$78.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$68.16
Resistance Level
$83.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.83
Wall Street Target
$81.81
(+3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.6%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.09
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$85.54
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$89.13
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.87
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 44.2%)
$526.38
(+568%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 44.2%)
$236.20
(+200%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 44.2%)
$200.77
(+155%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.85
Bull Case
$105.26
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$95.69
(+16%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$55.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-14
John E Laughter
SELL
69304 shares
2026-04-10
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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