DAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.

AIR TRANSPORTATION, SCHEDULED
$91.34
-0.64 (-0.70%) â–ŧ
5d: +4.46%
30d: +2.63%
90d: +24.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 08, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $91.34 · last confirmed Aug 7, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
ℹī¸ NEUTRAL: DAL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.73
5.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAL is currently trading at $91.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.03 to $91.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.4) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.74, while resistance sits at $95.01.

Market Sentiment: DAL has a weak technical setup (8/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.52 (+15.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $85.03 - $91.80
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 43.8%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($105.52)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with 18.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $85.03 - $91.80
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.74
Resistance Level $95.01
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.39
Wall Street Target $105.52 (+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.4%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.4% premium
PE vs Historical 10.4 vs 9.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $95.36 (+4%)
2-Year Target $99.55 (+9%)
3-Year Target $103.94 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→9) PE COMPRESSION $91.03 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 32.6%) $414.49 (+354%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 32.6%) $212.87 (+133%)
Bear: (PE: 8.8, Growth: 32.6%) $180.94 (+98%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.95
Bull Case $149.49 (+64%)
Analyst growth 47.8%, PE expands to 17.0
Base Case $135.90 (+49%)
Market implied 47.8%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case $62.55 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 08, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check

Is DAL showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John E Laughter SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-14
John E Laughter SELL 69304 shares 2026-04-10
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-10

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Advanced DAL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAL price and gamma walls.

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