What is the fair value of CRNC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CRNC to be between $9.71 and $11.89. The current price is $10.77.

What is the analyst price target for CRNC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CRNC is $10.75. This implies a potential upside of -0.2% from current levels.

CRNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CRNC - Cerence Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$10.77

0.77 (7.70%) ▲

5d: -0.28%

30d: +17.32%

90d: +51.26%

BUY

HIGH Confidence

Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CRNC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.9%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$13.60

Based on 5.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$8.44

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CRNC is currently trading at $10.77, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.71 to $11.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CRNC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.40, while resistance sits at $12.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $9.71 - $11.89

Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.7%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.75)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -17.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.71 - $11.89

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.40

Resistance Level $12.63

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Jun 17, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.06

Wall Street Target $10.75 (-0.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -17.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -92.0%

Profit Margin -6.5%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium

PE vs Historical 14.1 vs 13.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $10.96 (+2%)

2-Year Target $11.16 (+4%)

3-Year Target $11.36 (+6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $10.75 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.9%) $20.95 (+95%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 7.9%) $13.52 (+26%)

Bear: (PE: 12.0, Growth: 7.9%) $11.50 (+7%)

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Last updated: June 20, 2026 4:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced CRNC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CRNC price and gamma walls.

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