CROX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CROX - Crocs, Inc.
$129.75
-0.72 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
+4.17%
30d:
+3.08%
90d:
+29.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CROX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CROX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.40
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $129.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $120.11 to $127.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $129.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CROX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $129.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CROX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$120.11 -
$127.07
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($126.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with -1.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$120.11 -
$127.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.55
Resistance Level
$129.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.98
Wall Street Target
$126.00
(-3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 7.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.37
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$151.04
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$162.52
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$130.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$379.78
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 6.3%)
$156.62
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 6.3%)
$125.55
(-4%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CROX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anne Mehlman
SELL
12145 shares
2026-02-20
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Advanced CROX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CROX price and gamma walls.
