CROX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CROX - Crocs, Inc.

RUBBER & PLASTICS FOOTWEAR
$134.89
6.88 (5.37%) ▲
5d: +0.26%
30d: +7.67%
90d: +29.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 3.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CROX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.99
Based on 4.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.06
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $134.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.28 to $134.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $123.28 - $134.78
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($133.08)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with -1.7% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $123.28 - $134.78
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.00
Resistance Level $137.97
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.74
Wall Street Target $133.08 (+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin -2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 8.7 vs 7.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $135.43 (+6%)
2-Year Target $143.29 (+12%)
3-Year Target $151.60 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→7) PE COMPRESSION $128.34 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: 5.6%) $357.67 (+179%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 5.6%) $150.81 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 7.4, Growth: 5.6%) $127.68 (0%)
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anne Mehlman SELL 12145 shares 2026-02-20

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