CROX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CROX - Crocs, Inc.
$134.89
6.88 (5.37%)
▲
5d:
+0.26%
30d:
+7.67%
90d:
+29.85%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CROX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CROX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$145.01
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$90.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $134.89, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.28 to $134.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $137.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$123.28 -
$134.78
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($135.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.0% growth with 2.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$123.28 -
$134.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$113.00
Resistance Level
$137.97
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.04
Wall Street Target
$135.75
(+0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 7.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.33
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$154.44
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$165.25
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$135.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.2%)
$381.39
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$166.25
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$136.15
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.26
Bull Case
$186.67
(+38%)
Analyst growth 32.6%, PE expands to 12.5
Base Case
$169.70
(+26%)
Market implied 32.6%, PE stable at 11.4
Bear Case
$87.05
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 8:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CROX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anne Mehlman
SELL
12145 shares
2026-02-20
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