Crocs (CROX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CROX - Crocs, Inc.
$119.23
-1.76 (-1.45%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.18%
30d:
-3.41%
90d:
-11.38%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
5d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CROX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: CROX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$150.80
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $119.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.93 to $123.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (7.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.33, while resistance sits at $127.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.75 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.33, while resistance sits at $127.28.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $138.75 (+16.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$115.93 -
$123.49
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
58th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CROX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 58th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($138.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 2.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$115.93 -
$123.49
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$10.50
(8.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.33
Resistance Level
$127.28
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.94
Wall Street Target
$138.75
(+16.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.02
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$122.83
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$124.68
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$369.95
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$147.98
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 7.5%)
$125.78
(+6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.41
Bull Case
$171.45
(+42%)
Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$155.86
(+29%)
Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$80.57
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 5:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CROX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CROX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CROX price and gamma walls.
