CROX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CROX - Crocs, Inc.

RUBBER & PLASTICS FOOTWEAR
$136.62
2.44 (1.82%) ▲
5d: +6.73%
30d: +7.46%
90d: +31.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $136.62 · last confirmed Aug 7, 2026

Strength: 4.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
ℹī¸ NEUTRAL: CROX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.64
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.81
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CROX is currently trading at $136.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.27 to $137.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (7.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CROX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.00, while resistance sits at $141.28.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $126.27 - $137.14
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($135.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.2% growth with 2.6% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $126.27 - $137.14
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) Âą$7.99 (5.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.00
Resistance Level $141.28
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 7, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.15
Wall Street Target $135.75 (-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.2%
Profit Margin 14.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.2% premium
PE vs Historical 9.2 vs 7.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $146.46 (+7%)
2-Year Target $157.00 (+15%)
3-Year Target $168.31 (+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→7) PE COMPRESSION $136.05 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.1%) $370.64 (+171%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 7.1%) $167.73 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.1%) $135.58 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.02
Bull Case $199.88 (+46%)
Analyst growth 35.4%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case $181.71 (+33%)
Market implied 35.4%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case $91.24 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 08, 2026 4:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check

Is CROX showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anne Mehlman SELL 12145 shares 2026-02-20

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Advanced CROX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CROX price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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