ONON Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONON - On Holding AG
$37.92
-0.62 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
+2.85%
30d:
-0.21%
90d:
+13.03%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
27d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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1 traders called ONON this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONON appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.1% annual earnings decline despite 81% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONON appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.1% annual earnings decline despite 81% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$80.48
Based on 13.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.97
24.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONON is currently trading at $37.92, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.09 to $38.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.78, while resistance sits at $41.41.
Market Sentiment: ONON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.04 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.78, while resistance sits at $41.41.
Market Sentiment: ONON has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.04 (+37.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$36.09 -
$38.32
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($52.04)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.09 -
$38.32
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.78
Resistance Level
$41.41
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.85
Wall Street Target
$52.04
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.1%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 27.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.23
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$32.73
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$30.40
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→27)
$37.98
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 22.7%)
$70.06
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.7%)
$69.83
(+84%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 22.7%)
$59.35
(+57%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$79.96
(+111%)
Analyst growth 88.6%, PE expands to 46.1
Base Case
$72.69
(+92%)
Market implied 88.6%, PE stable at 41.9
Bear Case
$26.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.9 to 27.3
Stabilization Target:
$47.37
(+24.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:22 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-20
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-13
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-06
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