On (ONON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONON - On Holding AG
$27.41
0.56 (2.09%)
â˛
5d:
-3.35%
30d:
-11.61%
90d:
-30.09%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $27.99 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ONON is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ONON is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -13.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$70.44
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.74
37.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONON is currently trading at $27.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.28 to $34.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.4) compared to its historical average (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.59 (+59.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.59 (+59.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$27.28 -
$34.84
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ONON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.0% below Wall St target ($43.59)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.28 -
$34.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.60
Resistance Level
$29.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.42
Wall Street Target
$43.59
(+59.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.1%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 25.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$22.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.98
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16â26)
$31.40
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.3%)
$55.80
(+104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 18.3%)
$45.42
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 18.3%)
$38.61
(+41%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46
Bull Case
$33.77
(+23%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case
$30.70
(+12%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case
$18.26
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.4 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$43.07
(+57.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-20
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-13
Martin Hoffmann
SELL
4150 shares
2026-04-06
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Advanced ONON Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ONON price and gamma walls.
