ONON
On Holding AG
Rubber & Plastics Footwear
On (ONON) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$34.71
+0.01 (+0.03%)
▲
5d:
-10.12%
30d:
-2.2%
90d:
+9.88%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
0d
Protect ONON Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
31/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$32.96 – $36.44
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.5x
CHEAP
vs 24.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$43.67
+25.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$32.22 / $39.13
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ONON is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $35.48 · last confirmed Nov 11, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.14
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.31
18.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONON is currently trading at $34.71, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.96 to $36.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 81.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.22, while resistance sits at $39.13.
Market Sentiment: ONON scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.67 (+25.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONON is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $32.22, while resistance sits at $39.13.
Market Sentiment: ONON scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.67 (+25.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$32.96 -
$36.44
Company Quality Score
31/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$32.96 -
$36.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$32.22
Resistance Level
$39.13
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ONON? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($43.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 31/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.47
Wall Street Target
$43.67
(+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
81.1%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 24.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.70
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$30.80
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$29.01
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→25)
$34.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 17.0%)
$55.54
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 17.0%)
$53.88
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 17.0%)
$45.80
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$39.46
(+14%)
Analyst growth 3.4%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$35.87
(+3%)
Market implied 3.4%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$23.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.5 to 24.5
Stabilization Target:
$41.54
(+19.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.7%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ONON)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
On Holding AG reported record sales and highest underlying gross margin in Q3 2026, driven by the execution of its premium strategy, innovation cycle, and strategic investments in technology and infrastructure.
Key Retail Themes:
Record sales and margins
Innovation cycle
Strategic investments
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONON showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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