CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$25.81
0.21 (0.82%)
▲
5d:
+5.78%
30d:
-0.69%
90d:
-10.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSTM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.44
Based on -10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $25.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.80 to $26.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.81 (+34.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 66/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.81 (+34.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$24.80 -
$26.54
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (66/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($34.81)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 66/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.80 -
$26.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.73
Resistance Level
$26.11
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.86
Wall Street Target
$34.81
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 13.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.56
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$21.51
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$19.64
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$25.89
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -25.8%)
$37.89
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: -25.8%)
$18.82
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: -25.8%)
$15.99
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
Bull Case
$19.04
(-26%)
Analyst growth -32.4%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case
$17.31
(-33%)
Market implied -32.4%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case
$17.41
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$34.02
(+31.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 10, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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