CSTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSTM - Constellium SE Class A Ordinary shares
$29.91
0.53 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+0.77%
30d:
+3.82%
90d:
-12.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When CSTM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CSTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite extended pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.38
Based on -15.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSTM is currently trading at $29.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.36 to $29.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 316.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.84 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CSTM scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.84 (+26.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.36 -
$29.76
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($37.84)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.36 -
$29.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.84
Resistance Level
$30.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.43
Wall Street Target
$37.84
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.0%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 13.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.13
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$28.37
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$27.64
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$30.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -34.3%)
$35.48
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: -34.3%)
$21.80
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: -34.3%)
$18.53
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.87
Bull Case
$20.09
(-33%)
Analyst growth -37.8%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$18.27
(-39%)
Market implied -37.8%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$19.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$32.48
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 11, 2026 7:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CSTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ingrid Joerg
SELL
4614 shares
2026-03-10
Jack Q Guo
SELL
41717 shares
2026-03-10
Marcus Becker
SELL
1113 shares
2026-03-10
Top Rated Aluminum Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aluminum by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AA
Alcoa Corp |
BUY
14 analysts |
$63 | 30 SELL |
Advanced CSTM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSTM price and gamma walls.
