DECK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DECK - Deckers Outdoor Corp
$107.36
-3.43 (-3.10%)
▼
5d:
-6.13%
30d:
+9.94%
90d:
-1.27%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DECK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DECK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.45
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DECK is currently trading at $107.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.07 to $109.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (14.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DECK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.31, while resistance sits at $115.83. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DECK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.81 (+18.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DECK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $92.31, while resistance sits at $115.83. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: DECK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $126.81 (+18.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$96.07 -
$109.35
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DECK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($126.81)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.1% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.07 -
$109.35
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.31
Resistance Level
$115.83
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.54
Wall Street Target
$126.81
(+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.8%
Profit Margin
18.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 14.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.82
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$106.29
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$105.76
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$107.64
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$199.01
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 7.2%)
$132.08
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$112.26
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.02
Bull Case
$132.32
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.2%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$120.29
(+5%)
Market implied 5.2%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$77.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 14.8
Stabilization Target:
$109.27
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DECK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Anne Spangenberg
SELL
4063 shares
2026-02-13
Robin Spring-Green
SELL
347 shares
2026-02-13
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