Delek US (DK) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DK - Delek US Holdings, Inc.

PETROLEUM REFINING
$71.86
-0.54 (-0.75%) ▼
5d: -0.54%
30d: +22.44%
90d: +48.84%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your DK Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 31, 2026 at $70.20 · last confirmed Sep 3, 2026

Strength: 5.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: DK shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.72
Based on -30.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.90
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DK is currently trading at $71.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.88 to $71.28. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1870.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.07, while resistance sits at $77.40.

Market Sentiment: DK scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $62.88 - $71.28
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 21.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($66.33)
  • WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $62.88 - $71.28
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $66.07
Resistance Level $77.40
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.44
Wall Street Target $66.33 (-7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 47.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1870.0%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 22.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $64.67 (-10%)
2-Year Target $58.21 (-19%)
3-Year Target $52.39 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→23) $76.32 (+6%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -63.9%) $68.62 (+-5%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: -63.9%) $52.39 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: -63.9%) $44.53 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.67
Bull Case $100.97 (+41%)
Analyst growth 26.8%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case $91.79 (+28%)
Market implied 26.8%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case $49.23 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 22.5
Stabilization Target: $104.69 (+45.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +45.7%
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Last updated: September 06, 2026 5:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:41 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shlomo Zohar SELL 7343 shares 2026-03-19
William J Finnerty SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-18
Denise Clark Mcwatters SELL 11988 shares 2026-03-13

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Advanced DK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DK price and gamma walls.

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