SUN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUN - SUNOCO L.P.
$75.63
0.22 (0.29%)
â˛
5d:
+0.06%
30d:
+1.39%
90d:
+7.54%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SUN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SUN is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.24
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUN is currently trading at $75.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.65 to $76.41. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.50, while resistance sits at $78.00.
Market Sentiment: SUN scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.57 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.50, while resistance sits at $78.00.
Market Sentiment: SUN scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $82.57 (+10.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$72.65 -
$76.41
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($82.57)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.65 -
$76.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.50
Resistance Level
$78.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 20, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.47
Wall Street Target
$82.57
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
164.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$72.29
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$70.98
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7â8)
$75.04
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.1%)
$254.46
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 8.1%)
$94.57
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 8.1%)
$80.38
(+7%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.53
Bull Case
$166.28
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.4
Base Case
$151.16
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$51.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 7.9
Stabilization Target:
$79.24
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 21, 2026 12:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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