Forestar Group (FOR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$25.67
-0.02 (-0.08%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
-1.76%
90d:
-8.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When FOR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FOR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: FOR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.26
Based on -44.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $25.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.52 to $26.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR scores 74/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+32.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$25.52 -
$26.72
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (74/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.5% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.52 -
$26.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.57
Resistance Level
$26.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 16, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.00
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+32.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.08
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$26.50
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$26.92
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -92.7%)
$55.11
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: -92.7%)
$24.96
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: -92.7%)
$21.22
(-17%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.37
Bull Case
$23.93
(-7%)
Analyst growth -15.3%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$21.75
(-15%)
Market implied -15.3%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$17.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 18, 2026 10:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:12 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Real Estate - Development Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Real Estate - Development by analyst ratings.
