FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$28.65
-0.51 (-1.75%)
▼
5d:
-1.48%
30d:
+1.6%
90d:
+11.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: FOR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: FOR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 4.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.59
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $28.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.19 to $29.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+18.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$28.19 -
$29.95
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.19 -
$29.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.26
Resistance Level
$29.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.55
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.85
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.11
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$32.41
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.51
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$67.72
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 3.9%)
$32.16
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 3.9%)
$27.33
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$29.16
(+2%)
Analyst growth -9.1%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$26.51
(-8%)
Market implied -9.1%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$19.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 19, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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