FTAI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTAI - FTAI Aviation Ltd. Common Stock
$247.01
1.15 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
-1.33%
30d:
+2.92%
90d:
-12.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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1 traders called FTAI this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FTAI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.5% annual earnings decline despite 48% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FTAI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.5% annual earnings decline despite 48% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$562.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$348.96
29.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTAI is currently trading at $247.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.55 to $267.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.72, while resistance sits at $264.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $350.60 (+41.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTAI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.72, while resistance sits at $264.09.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $350.60 (+41.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$231.55 -
$267.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.9% below Wall St target ($350.60)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$231.55 -
$267.12
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$24.04
(9.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.72
Resistance Level
$264.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.40
Wall Street Target
$350.60
(+41.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
65.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.3%
Profit Margin
18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 27.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$226.01
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$206.80
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$189.22
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→28)
$246.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 56.6%)
$853.64
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 56.6%)
$833.66
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 56.6%)
$708.61
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$547.55
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.4
Base Case
$497.77
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.5
Bear Case
$169.24
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.4 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$322.08
(+30.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FTAI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTAI price and gamma walls.