Is RTX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, RTX is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of RTX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for RTX to be between $184.72 and $193.73. The current price is $194.71.

What is the analyst price target for RTX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for RTX is $229.13. This implies a potential upside of 17.7% from current levels.

RTX (RTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RTX - RTX Corporation

AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS

$194.71

3.11 (1.62%) ▲

5d: +4.15%

30d: +1.31%

90d: -8.5%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your RTX Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 20, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 8, 2026 at $184.32 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026

Strength: 7.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$258.03

Based on 5.3% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$160.22

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $194.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $184.72 to $193.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $197.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.13 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $184.72 - $193.73

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 48.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($229.13)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (42/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $184.72 - $193.73

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $181.15

Resistance Level $197.00

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.42

Wall Street Target $229.13 (+17.7%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.7%

Profit Margin 8.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 24.4 vs 25.8 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $191.21 (-2%)

2-Year Target $187.76 (-4%)

3-Year Target $184.38 (-5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→26) $194.82 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 24.4, Growth: 6.6%) $235.63 (+21%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.6%) $191.64 (-2%)

Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.6%) $162.89 (-16%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 31.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15

Bull Case $273.27 (+40%)

Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 34.3

Base Case $248.42 (+28%)

Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 31.2

Bear Case $130.29 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.4 to 25.8

Stabilization Target: $205.73 (+5.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +5.7%

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Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:15 AM

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