RTX (RTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$184.68
-0.33 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-2.49%
30d:
-8.02%
90d:
-8.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.84
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$165.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $184.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $188.97 to $205.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.5) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.14 (+26.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $183.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $234.14 (+26.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$188.97 -
$205.84
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($234.14)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (48/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$188.97 -
$205.84
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$183.83
Resistance Level
$195.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.50
Wall Street Target
$234.14
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.5 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.77
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$173.05
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$167.51
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→26)
$184.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.5, Growth: 8.5%)
$235.64
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$204.52
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$173.84
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.66
Bull Case
$282.52
(+53%)
Analyst growth 38.8%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$256.84
(+39%)
Market implied 38.8%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$125.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.5 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$203.51
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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