RTX RTX Corporation AIRCRAFT ENGINES & ENGINE PARTS

RTX (RTX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$201.29
+1.02 (+0.51%) ▲
5d: +1.44% 30d: +9.98% 90d: -8.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (49%)
Quality Score
53/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$185.97 – $198.98
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.9x FAIR
vs 25.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$227.91
+13.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$187.71 / $205.62
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RTX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 9, 2026 at $196.31 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$252.08
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.52
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $201.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $185.97 to $198.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $205.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $227.91 (+13.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $185.97 - $198.98
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $185.97 - $198.98
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $187.71
Resistance Level $205.62
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($227.91)
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.88
Wall Street Target $227.91 (+13.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 34.0%
Profit Margin 8.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.9 vs 25.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $199.08 (-1%)
2-Year Target $196.89 (-2%)
3-Year Target $194.72 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→26) $201.17 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.9, Growth: 5.0%) $233.29 (+16%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.0%) $186.25 (-8%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 5.0%) $158.31 (-21%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.15
Bull Case $289.85 (+44%)
Analyst growth 31.6%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case $263.50 (+31%)
Market implied 31.6%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case $136.18 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 25.7
Stabilization Target: $207.95 (+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.3%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (RTX)

Bullish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Boeing's potential layoffs could impact RTX due to Boeing being a significant customer, but Raytheon's successful flight test of the Joint Reduced Range Rocket provides a positive catalyst.
Key Retail Themes: Boeing's potential layoffs and their impact on RTX Raytheon's successful flight test of the Joint Reduced Range Rocket
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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