BA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BA - Boeing Company

AIRCRAFT
$222.28
-0.83 (-0.37%) ▼
5d: -1.86%
30d: +3.62%
90d: +1.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 14d
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.04
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BA is currently trading at $222.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $214.69 to $226.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.1) compared to its historical average (60.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $213.94, while resistance sits at $237.48.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $270.44 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $214.69 - $226.47
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($270.44)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $214.69 - $226.47
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $213.95
Resistance Level $237.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 10, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 53.11
Wall Street Target $270.44 (+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -68.0%
Profit Margin 2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 53.1 vs 60.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -4.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $212.94 (-4%)
2-Year Target $204.00 (-8%)
3-Year Target $195.43 (-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 53→60) $222.28 (0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (89x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (53x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 89.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case $410.89 (+85%)
Analyst growth 67.4%, PE expands to 98.2
Base Case $373.54 (+68%)
Market implied 67.4%, PE stable at 89.2
Bear Case $151.71 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 75.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.1 to 60.4
Stabilization Target: $252.81 (+13.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +13.7%
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Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:55 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar BUY 2026-03-19
Mortimer J Buckley BUY 2230 shares 2026-03-03

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