HWM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HWM - Howmet Aerospace Inc.
$275.13
-5.23 (-1.87%)
▼
5d:
+1.73%
30d:
+5.86%
90d:
+16.56%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
Get Alerted When HWM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HWM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HWM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$259.64
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HWM is currently trading at $275.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $250.90 to $271.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 45.7) is in line with its historical norms (45.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $243.68, while resistance sits at $290.63.
Market Sentiment: HWM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $305.13 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HWM is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $243.68, while resistance sits at $290.63.
Market Sentiment: HWM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $305.13 (+10.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$250.90 -
$271.33
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($305.13)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$250.90 -
$271.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$243.68
Resistance Level
$290.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.69
Wall Street Target
$305.13
(+10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.4%
Profit Margin
20.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
45.7 vs 45.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$275.68
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$276.23
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$276.78
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→45)
PE COMPRESSION
$275.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.7, Growth: 19.3%)
$467.54
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.3%)
$222.86
(-19%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.3%)
$189.43
(-31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (65x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 64.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.32
Bull Case
$429.85
(+56%)
Analyst growth 39.4%, PE expands to 71.4
Base Case
$390.77
(+42%)
Market implied 39.4%, PE stable at 64.9
Bear Case
$190.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 55.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HWM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Barbara Lou Shultz
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-26
Neil Edward Marchuk
SELL
45150 shares
2026-02-18
Byron Donalds
SELL
2026-01-08
Top Rated Aerospace & Defense Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Aerospace & Defense by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
BA
The Boeing Company |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$270 | 54 HOLD |
|
TDG
Transdigm Group Incorpor… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$1525 | 61 BUY |
|
RTX
RTX Corporation |
BUY
24 analysts |
$216 | 64 BUY |
|
GE
GE Aerospace |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$351 | 59 HOLD |
|
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corpora… |
BUY
25 analysts |
$697 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced HWM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HWM price and gamma walls.
