GLPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLPI - Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.
$39.24
0.16 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.49%
30d:
-2.18%
90d:
-12.15%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GLPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.36
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLPI is currently trading at $39.23, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.98 to $40.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (13.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GLPI scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.65 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $39.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GLPI scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.65 (+32.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$37.98 -
$40.36
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($51.65)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.98 -
$40.36
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$37.33
Resistance Level
$39.56
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$51.65
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.9%
Profit Margin
58.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 13.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$37.09
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$35.20
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$33.40
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$39.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$82.26
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$48.46
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 7.4%)
$41.19
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.42
Bull Case
$41.03
(+5%)
Analyst growth -2.3%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$37.30
(-5%)
Market implied -2.3%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$25.97
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.7 to 13.7
Stabilization Target:
$45.77
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 16, 2026 1:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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