Suncor Energy (SU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$67.24
-2.17 (-3.13%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.15%
30d:
-1.03%
90d:
+19.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 18, 2026 at $69.41 · last confirmed Sep 21, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: SU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.2% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.88
Based on -8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $67.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.27 to $69.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 241.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SU scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: SU scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$66.27 -
$69.27
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.27 -
$69.27
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.17
Resistance Level
$72.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.44
Wall Street Target
$70.00
(+4.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
241.9%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 10.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.07
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$59.16
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$55.49
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â10)
$67.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -21.7%)
$117.65
(+75%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -21.7%)
$49.02
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: -21.7%)
$41.67
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.35
Bull Case
$113.73
(+69%)
Analyst growth 49.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$103.39
(+54%)
Market implied 49.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$47.20
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 10.2
Stabilization Target:
$81.29
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 22, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
