Suncor Energy (SU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$73.46
1.22 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+6.81%
30d:
+6.72%
90d:
+20.34%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
21d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 5, 2026 at $69.20 · last confirmed Oct 12, 2026
Strength: 8.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: SU shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.76
Based on -7.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.25
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $73.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.47 to $70.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 241.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SU scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$67.47 -
$70.47
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($69.98)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.47 -
$70.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.11
Resistance Level
$72.46
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.54
Wall Street Target
$69.98
(-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
241.9%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.26
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$64.50
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$60.96
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$72.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -19.0%)
$122.51
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: -19.0%)
$52.66
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -19.0%)
$44.76
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.42
Bull Case
$121.78
(+69%)
Analyst growth 56.1%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$110.71
(+53%)
Market implied 56.1%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$48.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$85.47
(+18.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 12, 2026 1:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:05 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
