SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$60.64
-0.40 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
+2.68%
30d:
-1.56%
90d:
-4.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
18d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$50.89
Based on -8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $60.64, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.70 to $60.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.9) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $62.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $62.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$54.70 -
$60.86
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.41)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.70 -
$60.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.29
Resistance Level
$62.27
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.87
Wall Street Target
$63.41
(+4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.70
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$49.34
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$44.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$60.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: -21.5%)
$118.02
(+95%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: -21.5%)
$44.21
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: -21.5%)
$37.58
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.69
Bull Case
$134.29
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 18.2
Base Case
$122.08
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case
$41.51
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$82.45
(+36.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 15, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
