SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$59.25
0.76 (1.30%)
▲
5d:
+7.63%
30d:
-3.19%
90d:
-6.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
23d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.1% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -11.1% annual earnings decline despite 30% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.49
Based on -8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $59.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.72 to $62.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.6) compared to its historical average (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 29.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $60.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.72 -
$62.54
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($62.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.72 -
$62.54
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.51
Resistance Level
$66.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.58
Wall Street Target
$62.93
(+6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.9%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 10.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.33
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$47.99
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$43.19
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$61.51
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -20.6%)
$124.05
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.6, Growth: -20.6%)
$43.19
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: -20.6%)
$36.71
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.67
Bull Case
$128.68
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 17.5
Base Case
$116.98
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.9
Bear Case
$39.77
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.6 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$84.38
(+42.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 11, 2026 4:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
