IMO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$123.64
3.13 (2.60%)
▲
5d:
+9.58%
30d:
+2.81%
90d:
-4.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: IMO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.59
Based on -8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $123.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $112.99 to $121.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $117.80, while resistance sits at $127.68.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $107.24. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $117.80, while resistance sits at $127.68.
Market Sentiment: IMO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $107.24. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$112.99 -
$121.63
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 13.3% above Wall St target ($107.24)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$112.99 -
$121.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.80
Resistance Level
$127.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.44
Wall Street Target
$107.24
(-13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.33
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$111.35
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$105.67
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$123.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -20.3%)
$171.55
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: -20.3%)
$90.13
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: -20.3%)
$76.61
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.16
Bull Case
$265.12
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$241.02
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$81.95
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$144.78
(+17.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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