Imperial Oil (IMO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IMO - Imperial Oil Limited
$131.84
-3.73 (-2.75%)
▼
5d:
+1.74%
30d:
+5.68%
90d:
+2.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IMO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IMO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.36
Based on -4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IMO is currently trading at $131.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $122.42 to $131.60. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (12.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 143.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.11, while resistance sits at $137.03.
Market Sentiment: IMO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $108.35. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IMO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $122.11, while resistance sits at $137.03.
Market Sentiment: IMO scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $108.35. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$122.42 -
$131.60
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.8% above Wall St target ($108.35)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$122.42 -
$131.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$122.11
Resistance Level
$137.03
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.68
Wall Street Target
$108.35
(-17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
143.0%
Profit Margin
8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 12.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.77
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$110.62
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$101.33
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$131.91
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.9%)
$197.22
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: -12.9%)
$96.11
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: -12.9%)
$81.69
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.16
Bull Case
$298.25
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$271.14
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$92.19
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 12.6
Stabilization Target:
$171.63
(+30.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IMO showing a specific setup today?
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