PBR
PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS ADS (REP 1 COMMON SHARE)
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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PBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.82
-0.46 (-2.52%)
▼
5d:
-9.13%
30d:
-30.12%
90d:
-0.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$20.20 – $25.74
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.2x
CHEAP
vs 5.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.89
+34.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.55 / $22.38
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PBR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.26
Based on -2.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.20
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBR is currently trading at $17.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.20 to $25.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.2) compared to its historical average (5.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.89 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.89 (+34.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.20 -
$25.74
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$20.20 -
$25.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$17.55
Resistance Level
$22.38
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.1% below Wall St target ($23.89)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.18
Wall Street Target
$23.89
(+34.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.8%
Profit Margin
24.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.2 vs 5.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.20
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$14.72
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$13.38
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$17.94
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.4%)
$65.08
(+265%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.2, Growth: -8.4%)
$13.69
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: -8.4%)
$11.64
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.96
Bull Case
$21.66
(+22%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 5.1
Base Case
$19.69
(+11%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 4.6
Bear Case
$12.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.2 to 5.6
Stabilization Target:
$23.88
(+34.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PBR)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Oct 31, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on PBR are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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