PBR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PBR - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO S.A.-PETROBRAS ADS (REP 1 COMMON SHARE)
$21.65
0.67 (3.19%)
▲
5d:
+6.28%
30d:
+3.79%
90d:
+33.15%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
Get Alerted When PBR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PBR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.86
Based on -2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PBR is currently trading at $21.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.27 to $21.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.4) is in line with its historical norms (5.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PBR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.65. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.27 -
$21.46
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.95)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.27 -
$21.46
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.20
Resistance Level
$21.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.43
Wall Street Target
$22.95
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.8%
Profit Margin
24.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.4 vs 5.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.50
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$21.35
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$21.20
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$21.47
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -9.7%)
$59.95
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.4, Growth: -9.7%)
$15.96
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.6, Growth: -9.7%)
$13.57
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.96
Bull Case
$23.23
(+7%)
Analyst growth 0.7%, PE expands to 5.8
Base Case
$21.12
(-2%)
Market implied 0.7%, PE stable at 5.3
Bear Case
$14.27
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.4 to 5.5
Stabilization Target:
$21.93
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PBR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Integrated Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Integrated by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
XOM
Exxon Mobil Corp |
BUY
28 analysts |
$173 | 62 BUY |
|
CVX
Chevron Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$224 | 66 BUY |
|
CVE
Cenovus Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$37 | 65 BUY |
|
SU
Suncor Energy Inc |
BUY
21 analysts |
$69 | 55 HOLD |
|
DEC
Diversified Energy Compa… |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$21 | 70 BUY |
