MBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MBI - MBIA Inc.

SURETY INSURANCE
$6.30
-0.08 (-1.25%) ▼
5d: -7.08%
30d: +2.11%
90d: +8.06%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MBI shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $6.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.08 to $6.58.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+15.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $6.08 - $6.58
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 77.9%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.25)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.08 - $6.58
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.56 (8.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.52
Resistance Level $6.26
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -15.00
Wall Street Target $7.25 (+15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.8%
Profit Margin -158.2%
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Last updated: July 14, 2026 4:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:30 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MBI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.

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