MBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MBI - MBIA Inc.

SURETY INSURANCE
$6.28
0.28 (4.67%) ▲
5d: +2.11%
30d: -0.32%
90d: +6.44%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MBI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $6.28, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.83 to $6.20.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: MBI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.25 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $5.83 - $6.20
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($7.25)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $5.83 - $6.20
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.55 (8.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.52
Resistance Level $6.26
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -14.95
Wall Street Target $7.25 (+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.8%
Profit Margin -158.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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