MBI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MBI - MBIA Inc.
$4.90
0.08 (1.66%)
▲
5d:
-5.22%
30d:
-14.93%
90d:
-22.22%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MBI shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
📊 HOLD: MBI shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MBI is currently trading at $4.90, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.90 to $5.91.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.72, while resistance sits at $5.23.
Market Sentiment: MBI scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Implied Volatility is high (76th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+42.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MBI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.72, while resistance sits at $5.23.
Market Sentiment: MBI scores 89/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Implied Volatility is high (76th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+42.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.90 -
$5.91
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
76th percentile
(ELEVATED)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MBI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 76th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (89/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($7.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.90 -
$5.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.59
(12.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.72
Resistance Level
$5.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-11.01
Wall Street Target
$7.00
(+42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
-164.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MBI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced MBI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MBI price and gamma walls.