RYAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAN - Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
$34.51
1.25 (3.76%)
▲
5d:
-2.35%
30d:
+3.6%
90d:
-0.23%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYAN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 110% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYAN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.9% annual earnings decline despite 110% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.29
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.44
7.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAN is currently trading at $34.51, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.97 to $34.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: RYAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.47 (+23.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: RYAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.47 (+23.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$31.97 -
$34.66
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($42.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.97 -
$34.66
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.67
Resistance Level
$33.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.71
Wall Street Target
$42.47
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.1%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.16
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$31.87
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$30.63
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$34.56
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.4%)
$76.54
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$51.70
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$43.95
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$75.77
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.2
Base Case
$68.88
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.0
Bear Case
$23.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$38.94
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Patrick G Ryan Jr
BUY
25500 shares
2026-02-23
Patrick G Ryan Jr
BUY
365 shares
2026-02-20
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