RYAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAN - Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
$43.63
-0.53 (-1.20%)
▼
5d:
+1.02%
30d:
+3.81%
90d:
+41.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYAN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RYAN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.36
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAN is currently trading at $43.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.16 to $43.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.52, while resistance sits at $48.21.
Market Sentiment: RYAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.16 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $38.52, while resistance sits at $48.21.
Market Sentiment: RYAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.16 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$39.16 -
$43.67
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($49.16)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 7.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$39.16 -
$43.67
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.52
Resistance Level
$48.21
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.19
Wall Street Target
$49.16
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.90
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$46.20
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$47.54
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$69.21
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 11.7%)
$60.73
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$51.62
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 21.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.05
Bull Case
$52.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$43.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 21.3
Bear Case
$33.38
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 8:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Patrick G Ryan Jr
BUY
25500 shares
2026-02-23
Patrick G Ryan Jr
BUY
365 shares
2026-02-20
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