Ryan Specialty (RYAN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAN - Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
$43.57
-0.12 (-0.26%)
▼
5d:
+6.86%
30d:
+14.98%
90d:
-5.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYAN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: RYAN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.51
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAN is currently trading at $43.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.09 to $41.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RYAN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.09 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RYAN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.09 (+12.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$37.09 -
$41.21
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($49.09)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.4% growth with 7.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.09 -
$41.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$36.82
Resistance Level
$44.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.93
Wall Street Target
$49.09
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.3%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.73
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$45.80
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$46.90
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$43.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$69.01
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 12.6%)
$62.28
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 12.6%)
$52.94
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.98
Bull Case
$52.74
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.4
Base Case
$43.68
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$33.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 10:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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