RYAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RYAN - Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
$41.76
1.35 (3.34%)
▲
5d:
+1.33%
30d:
+20.45%
90d:
+20.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RYAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.52
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RYAN is currently trading at $41.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.56 to $40.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: RYAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RYAN is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: RYAN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$33.56 -
$40.20
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($44.94)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$33.56 -
$40.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.67
Resistance Level
$33.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.83
Wall Street Target
$44.94
(+7.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.1%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 16.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.80
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$43.87
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$44.97
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$41.86
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$75.38
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$61.72
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$52.46
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.82
Bull Case
$88.90
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.2
Base Case
$80.82
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.3
Bear Case
$27.48
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 5:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RYAN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Patrick G Ryan Jr
BUY
25500 shares
2026-02-23
Patrick G Ryan Jr
BUY
365 shares
2026-02-20
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