MCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCK - McKesson Corporation
$859.92
-9.08 (-1.04%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
+2.2%
90d:
+13.06%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 17, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When MCK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MCK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MCK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1293.40
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$803.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCK is currently trading at $859.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $820.02 to $877.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $810.88, while resistance sits at $912.50.
Market Sentiment: MCK scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $991.40 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCK is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $810.88, while resistance sits at $912.50.
Market Sentiment: MCK scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $991.40 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$820.02 -
$877.16
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MCK? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($991.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$820.02 -
$877.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$30.85
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$810.88
Resistance Level
$912.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.50
Wall Street Target
$991.40
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-17.6%
Profit Margin
1.1%
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$859.92
(0%)
2-Year Target
$859.92
(0%)
3-Year Target
$859.92
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â20)
$860.08
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$1281.69
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 13.1%)
$1242.59
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$1056.20
(+23%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $37.28
Bull Case
$1130.94
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.3%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$1028.13
(+20%)
Market implied 18.3%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$590.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 18, 2026 12:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:56 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Michele Lau
SELL
2725 shares
2026-03-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Top Rated Medical Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
COR
Cencora Inc. |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$373 | 53 HOLD |
|
CAH
Cardinal Health Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$271 | 54 HOLD |
|
HSIC
Henry Schein Inc |
HOLD
16 analysts |
$98 | 37 SELL |
|
QIPT
Quipt Home Medical Corp |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$4 | 52 HOLD |
|
OMI
Owens & Minor Inc |
HOLD
6 analysts |
$6 | 46 HOLD |
Advanced MCK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MCK price and gamma walls.
