MGM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGM - MGM RESORTS INTERNATIONAL
$48.30
-0.06 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
+15.14%
30d:
+26.31%
90d:
+31.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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1 traders called MGM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MGM is 10.9% above its trading range ($43.55). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MGM is 10.9% above its trading range ($43.55). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.85
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGM is currently trading at $48.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.98 to $43.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.32, while resistance sits at $51.59.
Market Sentiment: MGM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.32, while resistance sits at $51.59.
Market Sentiment: MGM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$35.98 -
$43.55
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
MGM is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($45.11)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.6% growth with 4.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$35.98 -
$43.55
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.32
Resistance Level
$51.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.60
Wall Street Target
$45.11
(-6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.6% premium
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 16.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.42
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$59.08
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$65.35
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$69.46
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 12.3%)
$68.46
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 12.3%)
$50.72
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 20.45 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.10
Bull Case
$51.84
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$42.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case
$32.84
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
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