PENN Entertainment (PENN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$17.69
-0.05 (-0.28%) ▼
5d: +3.03%
30d: -5.15%
90d: -19.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PENN is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.64
5.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $17.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.10 to $18.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.39 (+37.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $17.10 - $18.66
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 37.9% below Wall St target ($24.39)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.10 - $18.66
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.46
Resistance Level $18.05
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 16, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.80
Wall Street Target $24.39 (+37.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 208.9%
Profit Margin -12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.6% premium
PE vs Historical 14.8 vs 12.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.50 (+5%)
2-Year Target $19.35 (+9%)
3-Year Target $20.25 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $17.64 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 25.1%) $47.23 (+167%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 25.1%) $34.63 (+96%)
Bear: (PE: 12.6, Growth: 25.1%) $29.43 (+66%)
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Last updated: September 17, 2026 12:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PENN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PENN price and gamma walls.

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