PENN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PENN - PENN Entertainment, Inc. Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$18.79
-0.07 (-0.34%) ▼
5d: -6.91%
30d: -11.68%
90d: +18.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your PENN Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $20.18 · last confirmed Aug 12, 2026

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PENN is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.37
16.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PENN is currently trading at $18.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.59 to $21.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PENN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: PENN scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.29 (+28.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $19.59 - $21.09
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.9% below Wall St target ($24.29)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.59 - $21.09
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.67
Resistance Level $20.69
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.04
Wall Street Target $24.29 (+28.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 208.9%
Profit Margin -12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 13.0 vs 12.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.98 (+1%)
2-Year Target $19.11 (+1%)
3-Year Target $19.25 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) PE COMPRESSION $18.89 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.8%) $71.69 (+280%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 34.8%) $46.22 (+145%)
Bear: (PE: 11.1, Growth: 34.8%) $39.29 (+108%)
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Last updated: August 14, 2026 2:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PENN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PENN price and gamma walls.

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