RRR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRR - Red Rock Resorts, Inc. Class A Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$64.44
-0.49 (-0.75%) ▼
5d: +0.81%
30d: +0.39%
90d: +19.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.19
13.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRR is currently trading at $64.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.59 to $65.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.82 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $63.59 - $65.86
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 31th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 70.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.82)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $63.59 - $65.86
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.36 (6.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.39
Resistance Level $66.31
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.25
Wall Street Target $71.82 (+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.6%
Profit Margin 9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.3 vs 26.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $64.25 (0%)
2-Year Target $64.05 (-1%)
3-Year Target $63.86 (-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→27) $64.46 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.3, Growth: 28.5%) $136.65 (+112%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 28.5%) $107.90 (+67%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 28.5%) $91.71 (+42%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case $57.10 (-11%)
Analyst growth -20.1%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case $51.91 (-19%)
Market implied -20.1%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case $44.15 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 26.5
Stabilization Target: $65.04 (+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +0.9%
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Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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