RRR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RRR - Red Rock Resorts, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$64.44
-0.49 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
+0.81%
30d:
+0.39%
90d:
+19.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.19
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RRR is currently trading at $64.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.59 to $65.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.82 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $66.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $71.82 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$63.59 -
$65.86
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
31th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 31th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($71.82)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$63.59 -
$65.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.36
(6.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.39
Resistance Level
$66.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.25
Wall Street Target
$71.82
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.3 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.25
(0%)
2-Year Target
$64.05
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$63.86
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$64.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.3, Growth: 28.5%)
$136.65
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 28.5%)
$107.90
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 28.5%)
$91.71
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 21.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$57.10
(-11%)
Analyst growth -20.1%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$51.91
(-19%)
Market implied -20.1%, PE stable at 21.2
Bear Case
$44.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.3 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$65.04
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RRR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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