RRR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

RRR - Red Rock Resorts, Inc. Class A Common Stock

HOTELS & MOTELS
$56.91
-0.45 (-0.78%) ▼
5d: -1.04%
30d: +10.12%
90d: -5.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RRR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.81
13.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: RRR is currently trading at $56.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.97 to $56.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.1) is in line with its historical norms (26.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, RRR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.52, while resistance sits at $59.49.

Market Sentiment: RRR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.12 (+17.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $51.97 - $56.69
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 8th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.3%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($67.12)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $51.97 - $56.69
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.68 (4.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $50.52
Resistance Level $59.49
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.14
Wall Street Target $67.13 (+17.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.6%
Profit Margin 9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.1 vs 26.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.57 (-1%)
2-Year Target $56.23 (-1%)
3-Year Target $55.89 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→27) $57.09 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.1, Growth: 31.6%) $129.78 (+128%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 31.6%) $108.78 (+91%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 31.6%) $92.46 (+63%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.10
Bull Case $44.78 (-23%)
Analyst growth -28.6%, PE expands to 20.2
Base Case $40.71 (-30%)
Market implied -28.6%, PE stable at 18.4
Bear Case $38.76 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.1 to 26.7
Stabilization Target: $58.13 (+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.1%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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NEUTRAL

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